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Houston @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+190
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 15th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Lyles in today's matchup.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 15th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Lyles in today's matchup.

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Kansas City

E. Olivares
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Edward Olivares will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup.

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Edward Olivares will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup.

Michael Brantley Total Hits Props • Houston

M. Brantley
designated hitter DH • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Michael Brantley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the best infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Brantley in today's matchup. This year, Michael Brantley's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 6.2% last year to just 0% this year.

Michael Brantley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Michael Brantley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the best infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Brantley in today's matchup. This year, Michael Brantley's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 6.2% last year to just 0% this year.

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Houston

M. Maldonado
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Martin Maldonado has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph. There has been a significant improvement in Martin Maldonado's launch angle from last season's 14.1° to 17.3° this season. Martin Maldonado has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 22.31 ft/sec to 23.02 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Martin Maldonado has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph. There has been a significant improvement in Martin Maldonado's launch angle from last season's 14.1° to 17.3° this season. Martin Maldonado has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 22.31 ft/sec to 23.02 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-278
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-278
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) but may find it hard to clear the league's deepest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Houston Astros. Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93.5-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 88.2-mph in the last 7 days.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) but may find it hard to clear the league's deepest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Houston Astros. Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93.5-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 88.2-mph in the last 7 days.

Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Meyers
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Jake Meyers and his 20.6% rank in the 98th percentile this year. Jake Meyers is quite fast, checking in at the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.16 ft/sec this year.

Jake Meyers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Jake Meyers and his 20.6% rank in the 98th percentile this year. Jake Meyers is quite fast, checking in at the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.16 ft/sec this year.

Jose Abreu Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Abreu
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jose Abreu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jose Abreu has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 92.6-mph in the past two weeks.

Jose Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jose Abreu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jose Abreu has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 92.6-mph in the past two weeks.

Dairon Blanco Total Hits Props • Kansas City

D. Blanco
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Dairon Blanco will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dairon Blanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dairon Blanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Dairon Blanco will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dairon Blanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Matt Duffy Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Duffy
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Duffy in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Matt Duffy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Matt Duffy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup.

Matt Duffy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Duffy in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Matt Duffy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Matt Duffy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup.

Logan Porter Total Hits Props • Kansas City

L. Porter
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Logan Porter will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Logan Porter will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Logan Porter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Logan Porter will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Logan Porter will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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