Bally Sports Network

Atlanta @ Miami props

loanDepot park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Michael Harris II has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 95.7-mph over the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Michael Harris II's 62.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.9%.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Michael Harris II has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 95.7-mph over the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Michael Harris II's 62.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.9%.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Burger
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage today.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage today.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Bell
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Wendle
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+130
Projection Rating

The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Joey Wendle will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Joey Wendle's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (7.2°) is significantly better than his 3.8° figure last season.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Joey Wendle will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Joey Wendle's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (7.2°) is significantly better than his 3.8° figure last season.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Orlando Arcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Orlando Arcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Sanchez
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Miami

G. Hampson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Garrett Hampson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Garrett Hampson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Garrett Hampson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Garrett Hampson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Garrett Hampson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami

L. Arraez
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-227
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-227
Projection Rating

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Luis Arraez has been lucky this year, notching a .371 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .038 gap.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Luis Arraez has been lucky this year, notching a .371 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .038 gap.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 10th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Matt Olson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last season's 95.1-mph EV.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Matt Olson projects as the 10th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Matt Olson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last season's 95.1-mph EV.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

Xavier Edwards's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's game. Xavier Edwards has been lifting the ball well in recent games, notching a 21.3° launch angle over the last 14 days.

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Xavier Edwards's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #6 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's game. Xavier Edwards has been lifting the ball well in recent games, notching a 21.3° launch angle over the last 14 days.

Kevin Pillar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

K. Pillar
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Kevin Pillar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Kevin Pillar has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .284 mark is deflated compared to his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kevin Pillar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Kevin Pillar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Kevin Pillar has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .284 mark is deflated compared to his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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