NBC Bay Area, AT&T Sportsnet

San Francisco @ Colorado props

Coors Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Patrick Bailey sits with a .335 BABIP this year.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Patrick Bailey sits with a .335 BABIP this year.

Brandon Crawford Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Crawford
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen today. Brandon Crawford has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past week.

Brandon Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen today. Brandon Crawford has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past week.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+130
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+130
Projection Rating

Chris Flexen will hold the platoon advantage against Thairo Estrada today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team today. Thairo Estrada will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 17.3% on the season to 8.1% over the past two weeks. Thairo Estrada has been lucky this year, compiling a .322 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .021 gap.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Chris Flexen will hold the platoon advantage against Thairo Estrada today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team today. Thairo Estrada will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 17.3% on the season to 8.1% over the past two weeks. Thairo Estrada has been lucky this year, compiling a .322 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .021 gap.

Elehuris Montero Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Montero
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-286
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elehuris Montero in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Elehuris Montero's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (3.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.8° figure last season. In the past week, Elehuris Montero's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%. Elehuris Montero has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .251 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .194 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. As it relates to plate discipline, Elehuris Montero's skill is quite bad, putting up a 7.35 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 10th percentile.

Elehuris Montero

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elehuris Montero in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Elehuris Montero's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (3.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.8° figure last season. In the past week, Elehuris Montero's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%. Elehuris Montero has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .251 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .194 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. As it relates to plate discipline, Elehuris Montero's skill is quite bad, putting up a 7.35 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 10th percentile.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Michael Conforto is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Michael Conforto is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Brendan Rodgers Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Rodgers
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brendan Rodgers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.

Brendan Rodgers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brendan Rodgers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brenton Doyle will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Manaea has a large platoon split. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brenton Doyle will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Manaea has a large platoon split. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. LaMonte Wade Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph lately.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. LaMonte Wade Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph lately.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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