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Minnesota @ Cincinnati props

Great American Ball Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Kirilloff
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Alex Kirilloff will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Phillips in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Kirilloff has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Alex Kirilloff has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Alex Kirilloff

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Alex Kirilloff will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Phillips in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Kirilloff has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Alex Kirilloff has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. India
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+130
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan India will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan India will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+130
Projection Rating

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. T.J. Friedl will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. T.J. Friedl will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, T.J. Friedl's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph in recent games.

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. T.J. Friedl will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. T.J. Friedl will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, T.J. Friedl's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph in recent games.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

E. De La Cruz
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Batters such as Elly De La Cruz with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Joe Ryan who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Elly De La Cruz will hold that advantage today.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Batters such as Elly De La Cruz with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Joe Ryan who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Elly De La Cruz will hold that advantage today.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Steer
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Spencer Steer will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Spencer Steer will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Taylor
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Michael A. Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Polanco
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Jorge Polanco's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (36.6° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 23° seasonal figure.

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Jorge Polanco's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (36.6° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 23° seasonal figure.

Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

W. Benson
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Will Benson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Will Benson will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Will Benson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 20%. Will Benson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 101.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV.

Will Benson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Will Benson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Will Benson will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Will Benson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 20%. Will Benson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 101.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV.

Joey Votto Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Votto
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Joey Votto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Joey Votto will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Joey Votto has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.3 mph compared to last year's 94.8 mph mark. Joey Votto has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 97.3-mph.

Joey Votto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Joey Votto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Joey Votto will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Joey Votto has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.3 mph compared to last year's 94.8 mph mark. Joey Votto has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 97.3-mph.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Connor Phillips in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Wallner stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Matt Wallner has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 18.2% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 14 days. Matt Wallner has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph mark.

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Connor Phillips in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Wallner stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Matt Wallner has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 18.2% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 14 days. Matt Wallner has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph mark.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Fraley
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Fraley ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Fraley is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game. Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Fraley ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Fraley is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game. Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Nick Martini Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

N. Martini
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Nick Martini is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Nick Martini will have the handedness advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Nick Martini will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.5°, Nick Martini has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 26.9° mark over the last 14 days.

Nick Martini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nick Martini is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Nick Martini will have the handedness advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Nick Martini will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.5°, Nick Martini has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 26.9° mark over the last 14 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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