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Philadelphia @ Atlanta props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

Zack Wheeler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's matchup. Ronald Acuna Jr. has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.5-mph dropping to 91.9-mph in the past 7 days.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Zack Wheeler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's matchup. Ronald Acuna Jr. has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.5-mph dropping to 91.9-mph in the past 7 days.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Wright in today's game. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Wright in today's game. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-215
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-215
Projection Rating

Kyle Wright will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's game. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Kyle Wright will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's game. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-286
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-286
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and will be challenged by the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryson Stott today. Over the last 14 days, Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 89.4 mph to 86.6 mph. Bryson Stott's launch angle this season (9.9°) is significantly lower than his 13.2° angle last season. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 44.8% on the season to 22.2% in the past week.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and will be challenged by the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryson Stott today. Over the last 14 days, Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 89.4 mph to 86.6 mph. Bryson Stott's launch angle this season (9.9°) is significantly lower than his 13.2° angle last season. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 44.8% on the season to 22.2% in the past week.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Orlando Arcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Orlando Arcia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Orlando Arcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Orlando Arcia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Wright in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Brandon Marsh has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last 14 days.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Wright in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Brandon Marsh has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last 14 days.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. J.T. Realmuto has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV. J.T. Realmuto's launch angle lately (29.9° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 16.9° seasonal angle.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. J.T. Realmuto has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV. J.T. Realmuto's launch angle lately (29.9° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 16.9° seasonal angle.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

Austin Riley projects as the 19th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Austin Riley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Austin Riley has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 95-mph over the past 7 days.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Austin Riley projects as the 19th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Austin Riley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Austin Riley has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 95-mph over the past 7 days.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Michael Harris II will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Michael Harris II has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91-mph average.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Michael Harris II will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Michael Harris II has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91-mph average.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today's game. Ozzie Albies's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (27.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 17.8° seasonal mark.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today's game. Ozzie Albies's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (27.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 17.8° seasonal mark.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Sean Murphy will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Sean Murphy has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 10.5% rate last year to 16.1% this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.405) provides evidence that Sean Murphy has been unlucky this year with his .380 actual wOBA.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Sean Murphy will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Sean Murphy has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 10.5% rate last year to 16.1% this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.405) provides evidence that Sean Murphy has been unlucky this year with his .380 actual wOBA.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eddie Rosario will hold that advantage today. Eddie Rosario's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 39.3% to 46.3%.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eddie Rosario will hold that advantage today. Eddie Rosario's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 39.3% to 46.3%.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Marcell Ozuna will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Marcell Ozuna's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.6-mph now compared to just 89.3-mph then.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Marcell Ozuna will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Marcell Ozuna's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.6-mph now compared to just 89.3-mph then.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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