MASN, AT&T Sportsnet

Baltimore @ Houston props

Minute Maid Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Altuve
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+184
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+184
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Jose Altuve will have the handedness advantage over John Means in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage today.

Jose Altuve

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Jose Altuve will have the handedness advantage over John Means in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage today.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's game. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Ryan O'Hearn has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's game. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Ryan O'Hearn has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Chas McCormick Total Hits Props • Houston

C. McCormick
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+163
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+163
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Chas McCormick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means in today's matchup. Chas McCormick will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Last season, Chas McCormick had an average launch angle of 18.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 22.5°. In notching a .269 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Chas McCormick is ranked in the 75th percentile.

Chas McCormick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Chas McCormick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means in today's matchup. Chas McCormick will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Last season, Chas McCormick had an average launch angle of 18.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 22.5°. In notching a .269 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Chas McCormick is ranked in the 75th percentile.

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.322) may lead us to conclude that Jorge Mateo has had bad variance on his side this year with his .270 actual wOBA. Jorge Mateo is remarkably fast, ranking in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.09 ft/sec this year.

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.322) may lead us to conclude that Jorge Mateo has had bad variance on his side this year with his .270 actual wOBA. Jorge Mateo is remarkably fast, ranking in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.09 ft/sec this year.

Aaron Hicks Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hicks
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

As it relates to plate discipline, Aaron Hicks's skill is quite good, posting a 1.7 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 84th percentile. With a .322 BABIP this year, Aaron Hicks grades out in the 76th percentile.

Aaron Hicks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to plate discipline, Aaron Hicks's skill is quite good, posting a 1.7 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 84th percentile. With a .322 BABIP this year, Aaron Hicks grades out in the 76th percentile.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hays
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Austin Hays's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Austin Hays's launch angle recently (26.3° over the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 10.1° seasonal figure. With a .350 BABIP this year, Austin Hays has performed in the 92nd percentile.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Austin Hays's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Austin Hays's launch angle recently (26.3° over the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 10.1° seasonal figure. With a .350 BABIP this year, Austin Hays has performed in the 92nd percentile.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's matchup. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Cedric Mullins II's launch angle this year (22.4°) is significantly better than his 17.3° angle last year.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's matchup. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Cedric Mullins II's launch angle this year (22.4°) is significantly better than his 17.3° angle last year.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's matchup. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Compared to last season, Adam Frazier has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.4% to 19.3% this season.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's matchup. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Compared to last season, Adam Frazier has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.4% to 19.3% this season.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Kyle Tucker projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#3-worst of the day). Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Kyle Tucker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 19.3% on the season to 38.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kyle Tucker projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#3-worst of the day). Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Kyle Tucker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 19.3% on the season to 38.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Anthony Santander has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.9% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days. Anthony Santander has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.5-mph figure.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Anthony Santander has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.9% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days. Anthony Santander has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.5-mph figure.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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