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Colorado @ San Diego props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Campusano
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+195
Projection Rating

Luis Campusano has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty Blach today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Campusano has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 90.9-mph in the last 7 days. Luis Campusano's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 46.6% on the season to 64.3% over the last 14 days.

Luis Campusano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Luis Campusano has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty Blach today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Campusano has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 90.9-mph in the last 7 days. Luis Campusano's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 46.6% on the season to 64.3% over the last 14 days.

Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado

C. Blackmon
designated hitter DH • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Charlie Blackmon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha today. Charlie Blackmon hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Charlie Blackmon has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 89.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 86.2-mph mark.

Charlie Blackmon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Charlie Blackmon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha today. Charlie Blackmon hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Charlie Blackmon has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 89.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 86.2-mph mark.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Nolan Jones is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Nolan Jones will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Nolan Jones's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.4-mph lately. Nolan Jones has been hot recently, notching a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the last 14 days.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Nolan Jones is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Nolan Jones will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Nolan Jones's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.4-mph lately. Nolan Jones has been hot recently, notching a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the last 14 days.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (15.3°) is significantly better than his 11.9° angle last season.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (15.3°) is significantly better than his 11.9° angle last season.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year, notching a .246 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .267 — a .021 disparity.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year, notching a .246 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .267 — a .021 disparity.

Brendan Rodgers Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Rodgers
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brendan Rodgers's true offensive ability to be a .314, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .059 deviation between that mark and his actual .255 wOBA. Utilizing Statcast data, Brendan Rodgers is in the 78th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .268.

Brendan Rodgers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brendan Rodgers's true offensive ability to be a .314, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .059 deviation between that mark and his actual .255 wOBA. Utilizing Statcast data, Brendan Rodgers is in the 78th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .268.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Ezequiel Tovar has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 90.5-mph.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Ezequiel Tovar has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 90.5-mph.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Diaz
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Elias Diaz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 93.2-mph in the past 14 days.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Elias Diaz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 93.2-mph in the past 14 days.

Kris Bryant Total Hits Props • Colorado

K. Bryant
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kris Bryant in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kris Bryant is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Kris Bryant hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kris Bryant has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Kris Bryant has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph EV.

Kris Bryant

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kris Bryant in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kris Bryant is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Kris Bryant hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kris Bryant has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Kris Bryant has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph EV.

Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • San Diego

G. Cooper
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper as the 15th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Garrett Cooper will hold the platoon advantage over Ty Blach in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Garrett Cooper will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Garrett Cooper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper as the 15th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Garrett Cooper will hold the platoon advantage over Ty Blach in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Garrett Cooper will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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