LIVE 10th Oct 25
NYY 2 +104 o8.5
LAD 2 -113 u8.5

Toronto @ New York props

Yankee Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Oswald Peraza Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Peraza
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Oswald Peraza ranks as the 5th-best batter in baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Oswald Peraza will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage today. Oswald Peraza has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 91.5-mph.

Oswald Peraza

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Oswald Peraza ranks as the 5th-best batter in baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Oswald Peraza will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage today. Oswald Peraza has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 91.5-mph.

Everson Pereira Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

E. Pereira
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Everson Pereira will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today. Everson Pereira will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Everson Pereira's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 48.7% on the season to 75% in the past week's worth of games.

Everson Pereira

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Everson Pereira will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today. Everson Pereira will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Everson Pereira's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 48.7% on the season to 75% in the past week's worth of games.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-278
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-278
Projection Rating

The #7 park in the majors for suppressing base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. The 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Clarke Schmidt will have the handedness advantage over George Springer in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Schmidt's large platoon split.

George Springer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #7 park in the majors for suppressing base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. The 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Clarke Schmidt will have the handedness advantage over George Springer in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Schmidt's large platoon split.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Clarke Schmidt today... and moreover, Schmidt has a large platoon split. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Over the last week, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Clarke Schmidt today... and moreover, Schmidt has a large platoon split. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Over the last week, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%.

Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto

C. Biggio
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Cavan Biggio is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today... and the cherry on top, Schmidt has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 20.3% to 24%.

Cavan Biggio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Cavan Biggio is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today... and the cherry on top, Schmidt has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 20.3% to 24%.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today... and even better, Schmidt has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Grading out in the 76th percentile, Kevin Kiermaier sports a .321 BABIP this year.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today... and even better, Schmidt has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Grading out in the 76th percentile, Kevin Kiermaier sports a .321 BABIP this year.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Gleyber Torres will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Gleyber Torres will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Davis Schneider has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 91.8-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Davis Schneider has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 91.8-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Over the past week, Matt Chapman's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 95.7 mph to 91.5 mph. In the past week's worth of games, Matt Chapman's 25% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.1%.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Over the past week, Matt Chapman's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 95.7 mph to 91.5 mph. In the past week's worth of games, Matt Chapman's 25% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.1%.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today. Anthony Volpe has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .211 mark is deflated compared to his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today. Anthony Volpe has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .211 mark is deflated compared to his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the 4th-best batter in the majors. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the 4th-best batter in the majors. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

I. Kiner-Falefa
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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