Final Oct 26
NYY 2 +122 o8.5
LAD 4 -132 u8.5
NBCSP, TBS, Bally Sports Network

Philadelphia @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

J.T. Realmuto's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. J.T. Realmuto has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.9-mph mark.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

J.T. Realmuto's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. J.T. Realmuto has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.9-mph mark.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Strider today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Strider today.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Michael Harris II will hold that advantage today. Michael Harris II has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.2% seasonal rate to 20.9% over the last two weeks.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Michael Harris II will hold that advantage today. Michael Harris II has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.2% seasonal rate to 20.9% over the last two weeks.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Nick Castellanos has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89-mph average.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Nick Castellanos has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89-mph average.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 17th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Johan Rojas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Strider. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 17th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Johan Rojas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Strider. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Harper as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average ability. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's game.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Harper as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average ability. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's game.

Kevin Pillar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

K. Pillar
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kevin Pillar will hold that advantage today. Over the past week, Kevin Pillar's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.4%. Kevin Pillar has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .282 mark is a fair amount lower than his .333 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kevin Pillar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kevin Pillar will hold that advantage today. Over the past week, Kevin Pillar's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.4%. Kevin Pillar has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .282 mark is a fair amount lower than his .333 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Alec Bohm hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Alec Bohm hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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