STL +109 o8.0
PIT -119 u8.0
BOS -126 o8.5
MIA +116 u8.5
CHW +166 o8.5
CLE -181 u8.5
NYM -140 o8.5
WAS +129 u8.5
CIN +161 o8.5
NYY -176 u8.5
HOU -112 o8.5
TOR +103 u8.5
SF +175 o7.5
ATL -192 u7.5
PHI -111 o7.5
CHC +103 u7.5
SD +126 o8.5
TEX -136 u8.5
TB +100 o8.0
KC -109 u8.0
DET +153 o9.0
MIN -166 u9.0
MIL -157 o11.5
COL +145 u11.5
LAA -108 o8.5
OAK -100 u8.5
AZ +174 o9.0
LAD -191 u9.0
BAL +108 o7.0
SEA -117 u7.0
Amaz PV, Sportsnet

Toronto @ New York props

Yankee Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

Anthony Volpe will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side this year. His .210 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Anthony Volpe will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side this year. His .210 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Michael King in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Over the last 7 days, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 14.3%. There has been a significant improvement in Daulton Varsho's launch angle from last year's 14.5° to 20.5° this season.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Michael King in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Over the last 7 days, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 14.3%. There has been a significant improvement in Daulton Varsho's launch angle from last year's 14.5° to 20.5° this season.

Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto

C. Biggio
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Cavan Biggio is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 20.3% to 24%.

Cavan Biggio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Cavan Biggio is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 20.3% to 24%.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Kevin Kiermaier has posted a .326 BABIP this year.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Kevin Kiermaier has posted a .326 BABIP this year.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Davis Schneider ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Davis Schneider's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 32.8% on the season to 36.4% over the last two weeks.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Davis Schneider ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Davis Schneider's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 32.8% on the season to 36.4% over the last two weeks.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 8th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle this season (10.2°) is a considerable increase over his 3.9° mark last season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.385) implies that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck this year with his .339 actual wOBA. As it relates to plate discipline, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s skill is quite good, sporting a 1.59 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 88th percentile.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 8th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle this season (10.2°) is a considerable increase over his 3.9° mark last season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.385) implies that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck this year with his .339 actual wOBA. As it relates to plate discipline, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s skill is quite good, sporting a 1.59 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 88th percentile.

Estevan Florial Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

E. Florial
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Estevan Florial will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Estevan Florial will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Estevan Florial

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Estevan Florial will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Estevan Florial will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Matt Chapman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.8-mph. In the past 7 days, Matt Chapman's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 37.5%.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Matt Chapman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.8-mph. In the past 7 days, Matt Chapman's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 37.5%.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kevin Gausman. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Oswaldo Cabrera will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Oswaldo Cabrera's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.9%. Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year, putting up a .270 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .016 disparity.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kevin Gausman. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Oswaldo Cabrera will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Oswaldo Cabrera's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.9%. Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year, putting up a .270 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .016 disparity.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky this year, putting up a .312 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .006 discrepancy. Alejandro Kirk has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 97th percentile with a 1.09 K/BB rate.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky this year, putting up a .312 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .006 discrepancy. Alejandro Kirk has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 97th percentile with a 1.09 K/BB rate.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Stanton
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .303 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Giancarlo Stanton has had some very poor luck given the .012 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .303 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Giancarlo Stanton has had some very poor luck given the .012 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Aaron Judge has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 101.4-mph average to last season's 99.3-mph average. Over the past 7 days, Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 101.4-mph over the course of the season to 106.8-mph lately.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Aaron Judge has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 101.4-mph average to last season's 99.3-mph average. Over the past 7 days, Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 101.4-mph over the course of the season to 106.8-mph lately.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Toronto

S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Michael King today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Michael King today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Gleyber Torres will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Gleyber Torres's launch angle lately (33.8° in the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 15.1° seasonal angle.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Gleyber Torres will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Gleyber Torres's launch angle lately (33.8° in the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 15.1° seasonal angle.

Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Wells
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

Austin Wells is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game. Austin Wells has shown some good exit velocity metrics in recent games, averaging 96.9-mph on his flyballs in the past 7 days. Austin Wells has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, angling balls between 23° and 34° 27.3% of the time in the past week.

Austin Wells

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Austin Wells is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game. Austin Wells has shown some good exit velocity metrics in recent games, averaging 96.9-mph on his flyballs in the past 7 days. Austin Wells has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, angling balls between 23° and 34° 27.3% of the time in the past week.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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