NBCSCH, NESN

Chicago @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+128
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+128
Projection Rating

This matchup is expected to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew Benintendi in today's matchup.

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

This matchup is expected to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew Benintendi in today's matchup.

Yoan Moncada Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Y. Moncada
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Yoan Moncada hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Yoan Moncada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Yoan Moncada hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston

B. Dalbec
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Bobby Dalbec will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Bobby Dalbec

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Bobby Dalbec will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Korey Lee Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

K. Lee
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Korey Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

T. Anderson
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill. Tim Anderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Tim Anderson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Tim Anderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill. Tim Anderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Tim Anderson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 17th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Rafael Devers will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rafael Devers projects as the 17th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Rafael Devers will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game. Alex Verdugo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game. Alex Verdugo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Reese McGuire hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Reese McGuire hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Eloy Jimenez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

E. Jimenez
designated hitter DH • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Eloy Jimenez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Eloy Jimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Eloy Jimenez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Story
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's game.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew Vaughn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew Vaughn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Yasmani Grandal Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Y. Grandal
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Justin Turner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Justin Turner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.6% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today. Adam Duvall is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Chicago (#3-worst of all teams today). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage in today's game.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.6% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today. Adam Duvall is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Chicago (#3-worst of all teams today). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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