Atlanta @ Washington props

Lane Thomas's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game. Lane Thomas has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.6-mph. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 38.8% to 44.3%.

Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Young has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Jacob Young tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Strider. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 86.1 mph to 81 mph.

Nationals Park ranks as the #26 park in the majors for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the past 7 days, Michael Harris II's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 93.7 mph to 81.2 mph. Posting a 3.73 K/BB rate this year, Michael Harris II has displayed poor plate discipline, ranking in the 20th percentile.

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. CJ Abrams has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 13.2% in the past two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the league. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage over Joan Adon in today's matchup. Matt Olson pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Matt Olson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.2-mph average to last year's 95.1-mph EV.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Marcell Ozuna has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph average. In the last 7 days, Marcell Ozuna's 52.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%. Sporting a .371 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna finds himself in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability.