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Seattle @ Texas props

Globe Life Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Texas

N. Lowe
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-227
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-227
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage today.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage today.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Corey Seager hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .430 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has been lucky given the .036 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .394.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Corey Seager hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .430 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has been lucky given the .036 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .394.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Rodriguez
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst venue in the game for RHB base hits. The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Globe Life Field. Nathan Eovaldi will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Rodriguez today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, going from 39.9% on the season to 21.4% in the past 7 days.

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst venue in the game for RHB base hits. The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Globe Life Field. Nathan Eovaldi will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Rodriguez today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, going from 39.9% on the season to 21.4% in the past 7 days.

Evan Carter Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Carter
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Evan Carter's BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Evan Carter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup. Evan Carter will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Evan Carter has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last week.

Evan Carter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Evan Carter's BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Evan Carter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup. Evan Carter will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Evan Carter has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last week.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Sporting a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Adolis Garcia grades out in the 80th percentile for hitting ability.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Sporting a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Adolis Garcia grades out in the 80th percentile for hitting ability.

Mike Ford Total Hits Props • Seattle

M. Ford
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Mike Ford will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi today. Mike Ford has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last season's 88.8-mph figure. Mike Ford has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 84th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Mike Ford's 17.9% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 97th percentile this year.

Mike Ford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Mike Ford will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi today. Mike Ford has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last season's 88.8-mph figure. Mike Ford has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 84th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Mike Ford's 17.9% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 97th percentile this year.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Garver
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Mitch Garver will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Mitch Garver has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 8.8% rate last year to 14% this year. Compared to his seasonal figure of 19.1°, Mitch Garver has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.3°) over the last two weeks.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Mitch Garver will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Mitch Garver has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 8.8% rate last year to 14% this year. Compared to his seasonal figure of 19.1°, Mitch Garver has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.3°) over the last two weeks.

Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Kelenic
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Jarred Kelenic is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Jarred Kelenic has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 31.1% to 52.4% this season. Checking in at the 93rd percentile, Jarred Kelenic sports a .369 BABIP this year.

Jarred Kelenic

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jarred Kelenic is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Jarred Kelenic has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 31.1% to 52.4% this season. Checking in at the 93rd percentile, Jarred Kelenic sports a .369 BABIP this year.

Josh Rojas Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Rojas
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Josh Rojas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 86.3-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 13°, Josh Rojas has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 38.7° angle over the last week. Josh Rojas has been unlucky this year, posting a .280 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .024 discrepancy.

Josh Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Josh Rojas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 86.3-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 13°, Josh Rojas has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 38.7° angle over the last week. Josh Rojas has been unlucky this year, posting a .280 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .024 discrepancy.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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