NBCSCH, NESN

Chicago @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

T. Anderson
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 2nd-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill. Tim Anderson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Tim Anderson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Tim Anderson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.

Tim Anderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 2nd-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill. Tim Anderson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Tim Anderson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Tim Anderson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Clevinger in today's game. Masataka Yoshida has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Clevinger in today's game. Masataka Yoshida has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Elvis Andrus Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

E. Andrus
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elvis Andrus in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Elvis Andrus is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Elvis Andrus hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Batters such as Elvis Andrus with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kutter Crawford who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Elvis Andrus

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elvis Andrus in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Elvis Andrus is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Elvis Andrus hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Batters such as Elvis Andrus with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kutter Crawford who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Andrew Vaughn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 42.7% on the season to 63.6% over the last 7 days.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Andrew Vaughn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 42.7% on the season to 63.6% over the last 7 days.

Zach Remillard Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Z. Remillard
second base 2B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Zach Remillard hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Zach Remillard is remarkably quick, checking in at the 79th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.47 ft/sec this year.

Zach Remillard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Zach Remillard hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Zach Remillard is remarkably quick, checking in at the 79th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.47 ft/sec this year.

Yoan Moncada Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Y. Moncada
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Yoan Moncada hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today.

Yoan Moncada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Yoan Moncada hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today.

Korey Lee Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

K. Lee
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.

Korey Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.

Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston

B. Dalbec
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today. Bobby Dalbec will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Bobby Dalbec

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today. Bobby Dalbec will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the best pitching conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Benintendi in today's matchup. Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.1-mph figure last year has fallen off to 87.8-mph.

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the best pitching conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Benintendi in today's matchup. Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.1-mph figure last year has fallen off to 87.8-mph.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-286
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-286
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the best pitching conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the best pitching conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Luis Robert is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Luis Robert pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Robert has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.9% rate last season to 15.4% this season.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Luis Robert is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Luis Robert pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Robert has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.9% rate last season to 15.4% this season.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

G. Sheets
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's game. Gavin Sheets hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Gavin Sheets's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 17% on the season to 39.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Gavin Sheets has been unlucky this year, posting a .271 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .045 deviation.

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's game. Gavin Sheets hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Gavin Sheets's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 17% on the season to 39.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Gavin Sheets has been unlucky this year, posting a .271 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .045 deviation.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Justin Turner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Justin Turner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Chicago's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Adam Duvall, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Chicago's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Adam Duvall, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast