MASN, Bally Sports Network

Atlanta @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+180
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+180
Projection Rating

Nationals Park profiles as the #25 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his weak side (0) today against Jackson Rutledge Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. By putting up a .267 BABIP this year, Ozzie Albies has performed in the 13th percentile.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park profiles as the #25 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his weak side (0) today against Jackson Rutledge Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. By putting up a .267 BABIP this year, Ozzie Albies has performed in the 13th percentile.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Allan Winans today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Allan Winans today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+155
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+155
Projection Rating

Nationals Park profiles as the #25 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 15.1% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park profiles as the #25 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 15.1% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Jake Alu will hold the platoon advantage over Allan Winans today. Jake Alu will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all parks. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Jake Alu will hold the platoon advantage over Allan Winans today. Jake Alu will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Jacob Young has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Jacob Young has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Kieboom
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Carter Kieboom will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Carter Kieboom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Carter Kieboom will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Lane Thomas's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Lane Thomas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Lane Thomas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.2% up to 18.2%.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Lane Thomas's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Lane Thomas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Lane Thomas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.2% up to 18.2%.

Luke Williams Total Hits Props • Atlanta

L. Williams
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%.

Luke Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 91%. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-278
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-278
Projection Rating

Nationals Park profiles as the #25 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Nationals Park profiles as the #25 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast