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Tampa Bay @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+170
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+160
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the league. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the league. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Justin Turner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage today.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Justin Turner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage today.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Taylor Walls hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Taylor Walls hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Story
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Trevor Story will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Trevor Story has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Trevor Story will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Trevor Story has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caminero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Masataka Yoshida will hold that advantage in today's game.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Masataka Yoshida will hold that advantage in today's game.

Curtis Mead Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

C. Mead
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Curtis Mead is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Curtis Mead hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. In the past two weeks, Curtis Mead's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 24% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Curtis Mead

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Curtis Mead is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Curtis Mead hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. In the past two weeks, Curtis Mead's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 24% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston

B. Dalbec
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Bobby Dalbec will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Bobby Dalbec's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 13.3% on the season to 40% over the past week. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Bobby Dalbec has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .290 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.

Bobby Dalbec

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Bobby Dalbec will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Bobby Dalbec's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 13.3% on the season to 40% over the past week. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Bobby Dalbec has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .290 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Connor Wong has posted a .340 BABIP this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Connor Wong has posted a .340 BABIP this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Raimel Tapia Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Tapia
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Raimel Tapia will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game. Raimel Tapia has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Raimel Tapia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Raimel Tapia will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game. Raimel Tapia has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-256
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-256
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (22.1°) is a considerable increase over his 15.5° mark last season.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (22.1°) is a considerable increase over his 15.5° mark last season.

Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

M. Margot
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

Manuel Margot's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Manuel Margot hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Compared to last year, Manuel Margot has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 6.9% to 13.1% this season.

Manuel Margot

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Manuel Margot's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Manuel Margot hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Compared to last year, Manuel Margot has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 6.9% to 13.1% this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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