MASN, MASN2

Washington @ Baltimore props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+188
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+188
Projection Rating

Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92.3-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 89.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92.3-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 89.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Westburg
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+175
Projection Rating

Jordan Westburg's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Trevor Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Westburg in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage today. Jordan Westburg has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .317 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .346 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jordan Westburg's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Trevor Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Westburg in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage today. Jordan Westburg has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .317 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .346 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+170
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Joey Meneses's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph lately.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Joey Meneses's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph lately.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. CJ Abrams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 33.6% to 39.8%.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. CJ Abrams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 33.6% to 39.8%.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hays
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+108
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+108
Projection Rating

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest left field dimensions among all stadiums. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Austin Hays has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days. Austin Hays has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph dropping to 84.7-mph over the last week. In the past week, Austin Hays's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.1%.

Austin Hays

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest left field dimensions among all stadiums. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Austin Hays has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days. Austin Hays has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph dropping to 84.7-mph over the last week. In the past week, Austin Hays's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.1%.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Jake Alu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Jake Alu has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 1.9% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the past week's worth of games. Over the last 7 days, Jake Alu's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph of late.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Jake Alu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Jake Alu has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 1.9% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the past week's worth of games. Over the last 7 days, Jake Alu's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph of late.

Aaron Hicks Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hicks
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Aaron Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The switch-hitting Aaron Hicks will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Trevor Williams Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. a 1.53 K/BB rate this year, Aaron Hicks has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Aaron Hicks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Aaron Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The switch-hitting Aaron Hicks will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Trevor Williams Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. a 1.53 K/BB rate this year, Aaron Hicks has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. Ildemaro Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) suggests that Ildemaro Vargas this year with his .248 actual batting average. Ildemaro Vargas has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 97th percentile with a 1.09 K/BB rate.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. Ildemaro Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) suggests that Ildemaro Vargas this year with his .248 actual batting average. Ildemaro Vargas has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 97th percentile with a 1.09 K/BB rate.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Jacob Young has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Young has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 87.9-mph.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Jacob Young has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Young has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 87.9-mph.

Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Urias
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Ramon Urias today. Ramon Urias has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today. Ramon Urias's launch angle of late (32° in the past week's worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 7.6° seasonal mark.

Ramon Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Ramon Urias today. Ramon Urias has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today. Ramon Urias's launch angle of late (32° in the past week's worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 7.6° seasonal mark.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Keibert Ruiz has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.9° angle in the past two weeks. With a 1.91 K/BB rate this year, Keibert Ruiz has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Keibert Ruiz has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.9° angle in the past two weeks. With a 1.91 K/BB rate this year, Keibert Ruiz has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Dominic Smith has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.5% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Dominic Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph lately. In the past 14 days, Dominic Smith has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 27.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Dominic Smith has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.5% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Dominic Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph lately. In the past 14 days, Dominic Smith has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 27.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II's launch angle this season (21.5°) is considerably better than his 17.3° figure last year. Cedric Mullins II's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 37.9% on the season to 51.9% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II's launch angle this season (21.5°) is considerably better than his 17.3° figure last year. Cedric Mullins II's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 37.9% on the season to 51.9% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Trevor Williams Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Anthony Santander's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.7%.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Trevor Williams Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Anthony Santander's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.7%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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