Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+205
Projection Rating

When estimating his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 13th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 13th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+118
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+118
Projection Rating

Henry Davis is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Henry Davis will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Henry Davis has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 93-mph in the past two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Henry Davis's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Henry Davis is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Henry Davis will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Henry Davis has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 93-mph in the past two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Henry Davis's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

Cristian Pache Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

C. Pache
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Cristian Pache is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Cristian Pache will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Cristian Pache has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 3.6% rate last season to 8.7% this season.

Cristian Pache

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Cristian Pache is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Cristian Pache will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Cristian Pache has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 3.6% rate last season to 8.7% this season.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

L. Peguero
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Liover Peguero will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.

Liover Peguero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Liover Peguero will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Extreme groundball batters like Jack Suwinski generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Jack Suwinski has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106.6-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.4-mph. Jack Suwinski's launch angle this year (22.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.4° angle last year.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Extreme groundball batters like Jack Suwinski generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Jack Suwinski has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106.6-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.4-mph. Jack Suwinski's launch angle this year (22.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.4° angle last year.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Triolo
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jared Triolo is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Jared Triolo has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 23.8% in the past two weeks.

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jared Triolo is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Jared Triolo has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 23.8% in the past two weeks.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-255
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-255
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Bryan Reynolds's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (19.1° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 13.5° seasonal mark. Bryan Reynolds has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .267 figure is quite a bit lower than his .281 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Bryan Reynolds's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (19.1° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 13.5° seasonal mark. Bryan Reynolds has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .267 figure is quite a bit lower than his .281 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ke'Bryan Hayes is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Ke'Bryan Hayes's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (7.9°) is significantly higher than his 1.1° mark last year.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ke'Bryan Hayes is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Ke'Bryan Hayes's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (7.9°) is significantly higher than his 1.1° mark last year.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's game.

Miguel Andujar Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

M. Andujar
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Miguel Andujar has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Miguel Andujar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Miguel Andujar pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Miguel Andujar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Miguel Andujar has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Miguel Andujar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Miguel Andujar pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jake Cave Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Cave
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jake Cave will hold the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. Jake Cave has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Cave will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jake Cave

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jake Cave will hold the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. Jake Cave has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Cave will hold that advantage in today's game.

Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

G. Stubbs
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Garrett Stubbs will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Garrett Stubbs ranks in the 89th percentile with a 19.3° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the game.

Garrett Stubbs

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers. Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Garrett Stubbs will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Garrett Stubbs ranks in the 89th percentile with a 19.3° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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