Philadelphia @ New York props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week, Brandon Marsh's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.2% up to 50%.

Rafael Ortega is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Rafael Ortega will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Rafael Ortega has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile with a 1.71 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Tylor Megill will have the handedness advantage over Nick Castellanos today. In the past two weeks, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph lately.

Ronny Mauricio has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Ronny Mauricio pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Typically, hitters like Ronny Mauricio who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristopher Sanchez. Ronny Mauricio will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ronny Mauricio has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 4.8% seasonal rate to 10% over the last 7 days.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Kyle Schwarber hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kyle Schwarber's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 96.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 89.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Omar Narvaez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today. Omar Narvaez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Omar Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 20.9% to 27.3%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Omar Narvaez has been unlucky this year. His .251 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.

In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Tylor Megill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Johan Rojas today. Grading out in the 95th percentile, Johan Rojas sports a .300 batting average this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the league. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brett Baty's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brett Baty has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Typically, batters like Brett Baty who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristopher Sanchez. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game. Brett Baty has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last 14 days.

In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Tim Locastro will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Tim Locastro will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. J.T. Realmuto's launch angle this year (17°) is significantly better than his 13° angle last year. In the past week, J.T. Realmuto's 69.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.3%. Despite posting a .328 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has had bad variance on his side given the .023 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .351.

In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. D.J. Stewart will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.7°, D.J. Stewart has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 40° mark in the last week's worth of games. Placing in the 94th percentile, D.J. Stewart has posted a .375 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez. Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.