MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 8, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

San Diego Padres logo SD @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Wed, Apr 8 • 12:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT (-106)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Let's roll with the Pirates here as they are off to a better start overall. The rank inside the Top 12 in all major offensive categories, and should have enough to touch up Michael King, who was hit hard in his last start.

Total RBIs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
Projection 0.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Sporting a .266 batting average since the start of last season, Fernando Tatis Jr. finds himself in the 75th percentile.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Wed, Apr 8 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Cole Ragans logo
Cole Ragans u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+118)
Projection 6.04 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dan Iassogna projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in today's game.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.. Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cole Ragans in today's game.. With a 2.44 difference between Cole Ragans's 13.94 K/9 and his 11.50 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see negative regression the rest of the season.
Total RBIs
Lane Thomas logo
Lane Thomas o0.5 Total RBIs (+247)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for righty BABIP.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Joey Cantillo today.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Wed, Apr 8 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Christian Yelich logo
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+217)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 11th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game.. Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average.. In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest.. Hitting from the same side that Chad Patrick throws from, Willson Contreras will have a tough matchup today.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Wed, Apr 8 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
KB
Kyle Bradish u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+122)
Projection 5.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Bradish is projected to throw 84 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 3rd-worst field in the game for strikeouts.. Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Bradish in today's game.. Considering the 3.01 deviation between Kyle Bradish's 12.61 K/9 and his 9.60 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and ought to negatively regress the rest of the season.
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest in the majors.. Out of every team today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Wed, Apr 8 • 2:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
Projection 0.59 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 12th-best batter in the league as it relates to his batting average ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
Projection 0.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Josh Naylor has compiled a .283 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Wed, Apr 8 • 3:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 park in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Will Smith logo
Will Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Will Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The #3 park in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Wed, Apr 8 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Cristian Javier logo
Cristian Javier u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-134)
Projection 3.82 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Cristian Javier in the 12th percentile among all SPs in MLB.. Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Cristian Javier is projected to throw 83 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of the day.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the worst park in the league for strikeouts.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Jose Altuve logo
Jose Altuve o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.85 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jose Altuve's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Coors Field grades out as the #1 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the slate today.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Wed, Apr 8 • 3:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average.. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate (87%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.2-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.59 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average.. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate (87%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.2-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Apr 8 • 4:05 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 1.58 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent.. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand today.. James Wood has big-time power (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (30.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy is a pitch-to-contact type (10th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-278)
Projection 2.16 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent.. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand today.. James Wood has big-time power (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (30.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy is a pitch-to-contact type (10th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Wed, Apr 8 • 4:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Reid Detmers logo
Reid Detmers o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-102)
Projection 6.34 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Reid Detmers in the 90th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.. It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Vic Carapazza) calling pitches in today's game.. Angel Stadium grades out as the #6 venue in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Reid Detmers will hold that advantage today.. Reid Detmers was firing on all cylinders in his previous start and accumulated 9 strikeouts.
Total RBIs
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Angel Stadium grades out as the #8 venue in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences among all major league parks.. The weather forecast expects the most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ New York Mets logo NYM Wed, Apr 8 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jose Fernandez logo
Jose Fernandez o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-176)
Projection 1.41 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Jose Fernandez will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's game.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Wed, Apr 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.58 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Boyle today... and moreover, Boyle has a large platoon split.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Jonathan Aranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Wed, Apr 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Will Benson logo
Will Benson u0.5 Total Hits (-105)
Projection 0.45 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Will Benson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Will Benson is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Will Benson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Will Benson has recorded a .219 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile.
Total RBIs
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 7th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Eury Perez today.. Extreme flyball batters like Elly De La Cruz generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eury Perez.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ New York Yankees logo NYY Wed, Apr 8 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Trent Grisham will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Athletics has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.67 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ben Rice projects as the 16th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Ben Rice will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino today.. Ben Rice may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Athletics only has 1 same-handed RP.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Wed, Apr 8 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Kerry Carpenter will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober today.
Total RBIs
Gleyber Torres logo
Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.
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