AT&T Sportsnet, ARID

Houston @ Arizona props

Chase Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+175
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+175
Projection Rating

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in the majors. Over the past 7 days, Corbin Carroll's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 92.2 mph to 79.8 mph. Corbin Carroll's speed has dropped off this year. His 30.71 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.03 ft/sec now. Despite posting a .375 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corbin Carroll has been very fortunate given the .027 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in the majors. Over the past 7 days, Corbin Carroll's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 92.2 mph to 79.8 mph. Corbin Carroll's speed has dropped off this year. His 30.71 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.03 ft/sec now. Despite posting a .375 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corbin Carroll has been very fortunate given the .027 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+185
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 17th-best batter in MLB. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 17th-best batter in MLB. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Alvarez
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+180
Projection Rating

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Yordan Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Altuve
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-150
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-150
Projection Rating

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in the majors. Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Altuve in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

Jose Altuve

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in the majors. Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Altuve in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 86.9-mph.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 86.9-mph.

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Houston

M. Maldonado
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Martin Maldonado's launch angle of late (38° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 17.7° seasonal figure. Martin Maldonado's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (19.4°) is a considerable increase over his 16.3° figure last season.

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Martin Maldonado's launch angle of late (38° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 17.7° seasonal figure. Martin Maldonado's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (19.4°) is a considerable increase over his 16.3° figure last season.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Gabriel Moreno's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Moreno tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Urquidy.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Gabriel Moreno's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Moreno tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Urquidy.

Jace Peterson Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Peterson
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Jace Peterson will have the handedness advantage against Jose Urquidy today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jace Peterson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Jace Peterson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Jace Peterson will have the handedness advantage against Jose Urquidy today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jace Peterson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-227
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-227
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Alek Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Alek Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Chas McCormick Total Hits Props • Houston

C. McCormick
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Chas McCormick has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.6% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past 7 days.

Chas McCormick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Chas McCormick has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.6% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past 7 days.

Jose Abreu Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Abreu
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Abreu ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Jose Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Abreu ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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