NBCSP, WPIX

Philadelphia @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rafael Ortega Total Hits Props • NY Mets

R. Ortega
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Rafael Ortega is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Rafael Ortega will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today. Rafael Ortega will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Rafael Ortega's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.71 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 91st percentile.

Rafael Ortega

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rafael Ortega is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Rafael Ortega will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today. Rafael Ortega will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Rafael Ortega's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.71 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 91st percentile.

DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Stewart
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

D.J. Stewart is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. D.J. Stewart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. D.J. Stewart's launch angle lately (40° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably better than his 15.7° seasonal angle.

DJ Stewart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

D.J. Stewart is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. D.J. Stewart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. D.J. Stewart's launch angle lately (40° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably better than his 15.7° seasonal angle.

Cristian Pache Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

C. Pache
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Cristian Pache's launch angle this year (7.6°) is considerably better than his 3.4° angle last season. As it relates to his batting average, Cristian Pache has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .184 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.

Cristian Pache

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Cristian Pache's launch angle this year (7.6°) is considerably better than his 3.4° angle last season. As it relates to his batting average, Cristian Pache has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .184 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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