MASN, Bally Sports Network

Washington @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+200
Projection Rating

Michael Harris II is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today. When it comes to plate discipline, Michael Harris II's skill is quite bad, sporting a 3.9 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 18th percentile.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Michael Harris II is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today. When it comes to plate discipline, Michael Harris II's skill is quite bad, sporting a 3.9 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 18th percentile.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+165
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+165
Projection Rating

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field dimensions in MLB. Joan Adon will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna today. In the last 7 days, Marcell Ozuna's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%. Despite posting a .378 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has been lucky given the .021 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .357.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field dimensions in MLB. Joan Adon will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna today. In the last 7 days, Marcell Ozuna's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%. Despite posting a .378 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has been lucky given the .021 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .357.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+140
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+140
Projection Rating

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field dimensions in MLB. Joan Adon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley today.

Austin Riley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field dimensions in MLB. Joan Adon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley today.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Joan Adon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s launch angle this season (7.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 10.5° figure last season. Over the last week, Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Joan Adon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s launch angle this season (7.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 10.5° figure last season. Over the last week, Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Extreme groundball hitters like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Spencer Strider. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Extreme groundball hitters like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Spencer Strider. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Sean Murphy has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.5% rate last season to 16% this season.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Sean Murphy has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.5% rate last season to 16% this season.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Spencer Strider.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Spencer Strider.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Dominic Smith has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.5-mph.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Dominic Smith has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.5-mph.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Strider today.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Strider today.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake Alu will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake Alu will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Joan Adon today. Eddie Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Eddie Rosario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Joan Adon today. Eddie Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Eddie Rosario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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