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Minnesota @ Colorado props

Coors Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

T. Larnach
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Karl Kauffmann today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Karl Kauffmann today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 9th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent. Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate.

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 9th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent. Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Wallner ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage against Karl Kauffmann in today's game.

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Wallner ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage against Karl Kauffmann in today's game.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Chris Paddack today.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Chris Paddack today.

Elehuris Montero Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Montero
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Elehuris Montero has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Elehuris Montero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Elehuris Montero has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Brenton Doyle will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Brenton Doyle will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Max Kepler in today's game. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 16.2% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Max Kepler

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Max Kepler in today's game. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 16.2% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christian Vazquez ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Vazquez is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today's game. Karl Kauffmann will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Vazquez in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today. Christian Vazquez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christian Vazquez ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Vazquez is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today's game. Karl Kauffmann will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Vazquez in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today. Christian Vazquez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Kris Bryant Total Hits Props • Colorado

K. Bryant
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

Chris Paddack will hold the platoon advantage over Kris Bryant today. Kris Bryant's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 85.7-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Using Statcast data, Kris Bryant is in the 21st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .229. Kris Bryant has recorded a .293 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 17th percentile. In notching a .222 batting average this year, Kris Bryant finds himself in the 15th percentile.

Kris Bryant

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Chris Paddack will hold the platoon advantage over Kris Bryant today. Kris Bryant's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 85.7-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Using Statcast data, Kris Bryant is in the 21st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .229. Kris Bryant has recorded a .293 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 17th percentile. In notching a .222 batting average this year, Kris Bryant finds himself in the 15th percentile.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Diaz
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Taylor
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Michael A. Taylor has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 7% rate last year to 13.1% this year. This season, Michael A. Taylor has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 90.3 mph mark.

Michael A. Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Michael A. Taylor has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 7% rate last year to 13.1% this year. This season, Michael A. Taylor has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 90.3 mph mark.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

Over the past two weeks, Nolan Jones's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 94.8 mph to 92.4 mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nolan Jones's true offensive skill to be a .336, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .059 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .395 wOBA.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Over the past two weeks, Nolan Jones's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 94.8 mph to 92.4 mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nolan Jones's true offensive skill to be a .336, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .059 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .395 wOBA.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Karl Kauffmann The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today. Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Willi Castro has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.3% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week. Willi Castro has been lucky this year, putting up a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .019 deviation.

Willi Castro

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The switch-hitting Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Karl Kauffmann The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today. Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Willi Castro has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.3% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week. Willi Castro has been lucky this year, putting up a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .019 deviation.

Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado

C. Blackmon
designated hitter DH • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-270
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-270
Projection Rating

Over the last 7 days, Charlie Blackmon's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Charlie Blackmon's true offensive ability to be a .326, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .033 difference between that mark and his actual .359 wOBA.

Charlie Blackmon

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Over the last 7 days, Charlie Blackmon's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Charlie Blackmon's true offensive ability to be a .326, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .033 difference between that mark and his actual .359 wOBA.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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