ARID, AT&T Sportsnet

Houston @ Arizona props

Chase Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-215
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-215
Projection Rating

Today, Alex Bregman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (88th percentile). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Bregman in today's matchup. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, falling from 40% on the season to 22.2% over the past 14 days. Alex Bregman has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .261 rate is quite a bit higher than his .244 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Today, Alex Bregman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (88th percentile). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Bregman in today's matchup. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, falling from 40% on the season to 22.2% over the past 14 days. Alex Bregman has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .261 rate is quite a bit higher than his .244 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Altuve
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences among all major league parks. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Jose Altuve has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past two weeks. Over the last 7 days, Jose Altuve's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 92.8 mph to 85.9 mph.

Jose Altuve

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences among all major league parks. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Jose Altuve has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past two weeks. Over the last 7 days, Jose Altuve's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 92.8 mph to 85.9 mph.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-285
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-285
Projection Rating

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences among all major league parks. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's game. Jeremy Pena has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 83.8-mph in the last 7 days.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences among all major league parks. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's game. Jeremy Pena has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 83.8-mph in the last 7 days.

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Houston

M. Maldonado
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Chase Field ranks as the #2 field in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Ryne Nelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Maldonado in today's matchup. Martin Maldonado's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (30° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 19.4° seasonal mark.

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Chase Field ranks as the #2 field in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Ryne Nelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Maldonado in today's matchup. Martin Maldonado's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (30° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 19.4° seasonal mark.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the game for lefty base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Geraldo Perdomo will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 88-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 85.6-mph mark.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the game for lefty base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Geraldo Perdomo will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 88-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 85.6-mph mark.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Arizona

T. Pham
designated hitter DH • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 field in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 field in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the game for lefty base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the game for lefty base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Alek Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the game for lefty base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Alek Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the game for lefty base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-255
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-255
Projection Rating

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 field in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 field in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Alvarez
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-280
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-280
Projection Rating

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 3rd-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the game for lefty base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Yordan Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 3rd-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the game for lefty base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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