NBCSP, SNY

Philadelphia @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Mark Vientos has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week. In the last week, Mark Vientos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.7-mph in recent games.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Mark Vientos has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week. In the last week, Mark Vientos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.7-mph in recent games.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-149
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-149
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Butto in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Butto in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Tim Locastro Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Locastro
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Tim Locastro will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Tim Locastro's launch angle recently (33° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 22.8° seasonal mark.

Tim Locastro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Tim Locastro will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Tim Locastro's launch angle recently (33° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 22.8° seasonal mark.

DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Stewart
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. D.J. Stewart will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. D.J. Stewart will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. D.J. Stewart's launch angle in recent games (40° in the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 15.7° seasonal mark. Sporting a .367 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, D.J. Stewart is positioned in the 92nd percentile.

DJ Stewart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. D.J. Stewart will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. D.J. Stewart will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. D.J. Stewart's launch angle in recent games (40° in the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 15.7° seasonal mark. Sporting a .367 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, D.J. Stewart is positioned in the 92nd percentile.

Danny Mendick Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Mendick
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Danny Mendick will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Danny Mendick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Danny Mendick will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Brett Baty has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage today. Brett Baty has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.2% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last 14 days.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Brett Baty has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage today. Brett Baty has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.2% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last 14 days.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Johan Rojas has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 1.1% seasonal rate to 6.7% over the last 14 days. Grading out in the 96th percentile, Johan Rojas sits with a .305 batting average this year.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Johan Rojas has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 1.1% seasonal rate to 6.7% over the last 14 days. Grading out in the 96th percentile, Johan Rojas sits with a .305 batting average this year.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Pete Alonso has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 95-mph.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Pete Alonso has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 95-mph.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Butto today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Bryson Stott's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Butto today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game. Francisco Lindor has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game. Francisco Lindor has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast