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Cincinnati @ St. Louis Props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+118
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+118
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (66% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (66% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Masyn Winn's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.2% up to 10%. Masyn Winn has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 88.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86-mph EV.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Masyn Winn's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.2% up to 10%. Masyn Winn has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 88.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86-mph EV.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Fraley
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Jake Fraley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Jake Fraley has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks. Jake Fraley's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 84.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 77.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Jake Fraley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Jake Fraley has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks. Jake Fraley's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 84.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 77.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Luken Baker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Baker
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Luken Baker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Luken Baker will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Luken Baker's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (13.7° over the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 9.3° seasonal mark.

Luken Baker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Luken Baker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Luken Baker will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Luken Baker's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (13.7° over the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 9.3° seasonal mark.

Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • St. Louis

R. Palacios
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Richie Palacios has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Richie Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Richie Palacios has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

C. Encarnacion-Strand
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Homers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in Major League Baseball. Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today's game.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Homers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in Major League Baseball. Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today's game.

Luke Maile Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

L. Maile
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Luke Maile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Jose Fermin Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Fermin
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Jose Fermin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Fermin is notably fast, ranking in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.32 ft/sec this year.

Jose Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Jose Fermin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Fermin is notably fast, ranking in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.32 ft/sec this year.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Steer
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Steer's launch angle recently (29.8° over the past week) is significantly higher than his 15° seasonal figure. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Spencer Steer has been very consistent with his lately, posting a 34.3° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Steer's launch angle recently (29.8° over the past week) is significantly higher than his 15° seasonal figure. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Spencer Steer has been very consistent with his lately, posting a 34.3° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Tommy Edman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Edman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage today.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tommy Edman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Edman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage today.

Joey Votto Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Votto
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Joey Votto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Votto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today. Joey Votto's launch angle of late (22.5° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 13.8° seasonal angle.

Joey Votto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Joey Votto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Votto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today. Joey Votto's launch angle of late (22.5° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 13.8° seasonal angle.

Andrew Knizner Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Knizner
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew Knizner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Andrew Knizner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 17.9% on the season to 33.3% in the past week.

Andrew Knizner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew Knizner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Andrew Knizner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 17.9% on the season to 33.3% in the past week.

Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

W. Benson
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Will Benson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 95-mph. Will Benson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 18.2% on the season to 28.6% over the last two weeks.

Will Benson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Will Benson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 95-mph. Will Benson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 18.2% on the season to 28.6% over the last two weeks.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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