MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 24, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, May 24 • 12:15 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
George Springer logo George Springer o0.5 Total Home Runs (+405)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Pirates starter Mitch Keller has surrendered a home run in each of his last three starts. So how about another Springer dinger? The Jays outfielder is starting to find a groove at the plate with a hit in six straight games, homering three times in that stretch.

 

Strikeouts Thrown
Dylan Cease logo Dylan Cease o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-160)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

The Pittsburgh Pirates have struck out 23 times already in the first two games of the series. I’m expecting strikeout merchant Dylan Cease to continue mowing down batters in this matchup. 

He’s gone Over today’s posted total of 7.5 strikeouts with 9+ strikeouts in three straight outings. He's second in K/9 this season, averaging 8.1 strikeouts per start, while also ranking in the 97th percentile in whiff rate.

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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, May 24 • 12:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso u0.5 Total Hits (+173)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Pete Alonso has posted a .260 BABIP this year, placing in the 24th percentile.
Total Hits
Tyler O'Neill logo
Tyler O'Neill u0.5 Total Hits (+143)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Tyler O'Neill has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Tyler O'Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Tyler O'Neill's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 90.6 mph to 85.1 mph.. From last season to this one, Tyler O'Neill's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 42.1% to 31.7%.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sun, May 24 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kyle Schwarber logo Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Kyle Schwarber isn't too far removed from a stretch where he hit nine homers in eight games, and he'll enjoy home-field advantage at one of the most home run-friendly venues in the majors. Guardians starter Parker Messick has allowed five dingers in his last four games, while Schwarber is tied for second in HRs vs. lefties (6).

Total Hits
Travis Bazzana logo
Travis Bazzana u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #7 venue in the league for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. This contest is predicted to have the 3rd-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Travis Bazzana will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Travis Bazzana has recorded a mere a 2.9% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, May 24 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the lowest temperature of the day at 50°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers.. Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Byron Buxton will not have the upper hand today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.
Total Hits
Nick Sogard logo
Nick Sogard u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nick Sogard is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the lowest temperature of the day at 50°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 18.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Nick Sogard will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Bailey Ober today.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sun, May 24 • 1:35 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo New York Yankees logo o7.5 (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

While New York has struggled to score, this Rays lineup has been mashing over the past week, ranking fifth in the majors in runs scored and first in on-base percentage. They are also inside the Top 3 in average, slugging, and OPS.

Rasmussen has gotten plenty of run support in his starts, and scoring overall, as the 7.5-run total has been crossed in seven of his nine starts this season.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+119)
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The Rays have won 24 of their last 27 games against AL opponents.

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New York Mets logo NYM @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, May 24 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Hayden Senger logo
Hayden Senger u0.5 Total Hits (-108)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Hayden Senger ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Hayden Senger is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today's game.. Hayden Senger has been pinch hit for 42% of the time when starting against a northpaw since the start of last season.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Tyler Phillips will hold the platoon advantage over Hayden Senger in today's game.
Total Hits
MJ Melendez logo
MJ Melendez u0.5 Total Hits (-112)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 8th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. MJ Melendez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. 53% of the time that MJ Melendez has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, May 24 • 1:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jordan Walker logo Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-156)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 14 times in two meetings vs. the Reds, and they'll do plenty more damage against Brady Singer, who has an 8.47 ERA this month.

Jordan Walker already has three runs, four hits, and seven RBI in the series. His hot streak continues today.

Total Home Runs
Jordan Walker logo Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+335)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Reds starter Brady Singer has allowed three dingers in two straight starts, and 2+ homers in four of his last five. Jordan Walker has gone yard in two straight games and has feasted on right-handed pitching, batting .311 with 11 of his 15 home runs vs. righties.

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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, May 24 • 2:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Shohei Ohtani enters Sunday on a nine-game hit streak, with Over 1.5 total bases in eight of those contests. 

He'll feast against Brewers starter Brandon Sproat, who has a bloated 1.50 WHIP this season after allowing 38 hits in 40 2/3 innings.

Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+250)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Over his past nine games, Shohei Ohtani leads the majors in batting average (.467), wxOBA (.530), and sits second in slugging percentage (.867). Ohtani will enjoy a favorable matchup against Brewers starter Brandon Sproat, who has allowed at least one dinger in four of his last five starts and carries a massive 5.75 ERA this season.

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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sun, May 24 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+179)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Jac Caglianone will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jac Caglianone has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+166)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Carter Jensen is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Because of Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Carter Jensen will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Carter Jensen can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, May 24 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes u0.5 Total Hits (+132)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Wrigley Field ranks as the #24 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This matchup is predicted to have the 4th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Isaac Paredes usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.
Total Bases
Brice Matthews logo
Brice Matthews u1.5 Total Bases (-300)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brice Matthews's batting average talent is projected to be in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Matthews is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst park in the game for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, the 7th-tallest average fence height are at Wrigley Field.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, May 24 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching of the day.. Batting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Munetaka Murakami meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Munetaka Murakami in today's game.. Munetaka Murakami has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 21.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 16% in the past two weeks.
Total Bases
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oracle Park ranks as the #23 field in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oracle Park has the highest fences among all major league parks.. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching of the day.. Randal Grichuk will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sun, May 24 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brent Rooker logo
Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. In the majors, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Brent Rooker's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph of late.
Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Zack Gelof ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Zack Gelof hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. In the last week, Zack Gelof's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph of late.. Zack Gelof's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 40.8% on the season to 60% in the last week's worth of games.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sun, May 24 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Foster Griffin throws from, Matt Olson will not have the upper hand in today's game.. Over the past week, Matt Olson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.9% down to 0%.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 17.7°, Matt Olson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.7°) in the last two weeks.. Matt Olson has been lucky this year, putting up a .377 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .349 — a .028 deviation.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in the majors for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sun, May 24 • 4:10 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Sterlin Thompson logo
Sterlin Thompson u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sterlin Thompson is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.. Sterlin Thompson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Sterlin Thompson is remarkably slow, grading out in the 4th percentile in Sprint Speed at 24.45 ft/sec this year.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 15th-best batter in MLB.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jose Quintana.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, May 24 • 6:05 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Adley Rutschman logo
Adley Rutschman u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the coldest weather of all games today at 53°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. In the last week, Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 93.1 mph to 82.5 mph.. Adley Rutschman has recorded a .252 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 9th percentile.
Total Home Runs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.9°, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24° mark in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Based on Statcast metrics, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 89th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 30.400.. Power-wise, Spencer Torkelson finds himself in the 77th percentile, having averaged 22.4 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, May 24 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Michael Helman logo
Michael Helman u0.5 Total Hits (+116)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Helman in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Michael Helman is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Michael Helman pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Michael Helman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+153)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in the league.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 7 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo New York Yankees logo u7.0 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I'm on the market here and wouldn't play this below 7, but at a plus-money price with how the Yankees are swinging lately, I'm inclined to lean towards the Under. The Yankees' offense, one of the best in the sport for long stretches over the past three years, has really struggled lately. It's been held to three runs or fewer in nine of its past 14 games. It should be ugly conditions in Yankee Stadium today, add in Ryan Weathers' strikeout rate, which ranks in the 97th percentile of baseball, and both offenses should stay fairly quiet.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+122)
Pick made: yesterday
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Rasmussen has been a New York Yankees nightmare, posting a 1.03 ERA across eight career outings against the Bronx Bombers. This type of stat is meaningless without context, and we have it here. He's been able to do this because the Yankees are constantly reliant on their power, and Rasmussen is one of the best barrel suppression arms in baseball, sitting in the 96th percentile in such rates this season. Playbale to +100. 

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