Bally Sports Network, MLBN, ARID

St. Louis @ Arizona props

Chase Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Paul Goldschmidt has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 102.9-mph in the last two weeks.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Paul Goldschmidt has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 102.9-mph in the last two weeks.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Extreme groundball batters like Willson Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryne Nelson.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Extreme groundball batters like Willson Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryne Nelson.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-222
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-222
Projection Rating

Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Over the last two weeks, Brendan Donovan has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. An inconsistent launch angle is usually a proxy for bad hitting skills, and Brendan Donovan has been very inconsistent with his lately, notching a 0° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Over the last two weeks, Brendan Donovan has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. An inconsistent launch angle is usually a proxy for bad hitting skills, and Brendan Donovan has been very inconsistent with his lately, notching a 0° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Kyle Gibson Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. In the last 14 days, Ketel Marte's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.1%. Ketel Marte has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) over the past 14 days.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Kyle Gibson Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. In the last 14 days, Ketel Marte's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.1%. Ketel Marte has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) over the past 14 days.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's game. Lars Nootbaar has notched a .344 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's game. Lars Nootbaar has notched a .344 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-244
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-244
Projection Rating

Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Corbin Carroll's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (3° in the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 12° seasonal mark. Corbin Carroll has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the last two weeks.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Corbin Carroll's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (3° in the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 12° seasonal mark. Corbin Carroll has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the last two weeks.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Pederson
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Joc Pederson ranks as the 20th-best batter in baseball. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Joc Pederson ranks as the 20th-best batter in baseball. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup.

Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

V. Scott II
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Victor Scott will have an advantage today. Victor Scott's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 33.3% on the season to 100% in the past two weeks.

Victor Scott II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Victor Scott will have an advantage today. Victor Scott's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 33.3% on the season to 100% in the past two weeks.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-256
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-256
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. faces a tough challenge today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. In the last two weeks, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.7% down to 0%. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 99.8-mph dropping to 92.3-mph over the last two weeks. Over the past 14 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 33.3%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. faces a tough challenge today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. In the last two weeks, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.7% down to 0%. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 99.8-mph dropping to 92.3-mph over the last two weeks. Over the past 14 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 33.3%.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage today. Gabriel Moreno has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 89.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 86.7-mph EV.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage today. Gabriel Moreno has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 89.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 86.7-mph EV.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona

E. Suarez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Gibson. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Gibson. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Jace Peterson Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Peterson
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jace Peterson will have an edge in today's game. Jace Peterson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jace Peterson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jace Peterson will have an edge in today's game. Jace Peterson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Jake McCarthy's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage today.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jake McCarthy's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Nolan Arenado's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (50° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 40.7° seasonal mark.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Nolan Arenado's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (50° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 40.7° seasonal mark.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-263
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-263
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. In the last 14 days, Jordan Walker's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 25%.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. In the last 14 days, Jordan Walker's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 25%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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