New York @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Isaac Paredes will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (44.5% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.1° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the league.

Harold Ramirez's 89.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 13th percentile since the start of last season. Harold Ramirez has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 4.6° mark is among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (4th percentile). When it comes to plate discipline, Harold Ramirez's skill is quite bad, posting a 4.01 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 17th percentile.

Yandy Diaz's quickness has fallen off this season. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.61 ft/sec now. Yandy Diaz and his 5° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.

Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Amed Rosario and his 5.4° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 6th percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season. Amed Rosario has displayed poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile with a 3.56 K/BB rate.

Jose Caballero will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Civale in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, Brandon Nimmo grades out in the 89th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .358.

The switch-hitting Niko Goodrum will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jose Quintana. Niko Goodrum pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today. Niko Goodrum will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Pete Alonso projects as the 17th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Pete Alonso has recorded a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Pete Alonso's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to measure power) has been 115.7 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 94th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena's true offensive talent to be a .338, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .128 gap between that mark and his actual .210 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale today. Brett Baty has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brett Baty's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) has been 113.7 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge today. In terms of plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.56 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 88th percentile.

Curtis Mead will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Curtis Mead will hold that advantage today. Curtis Mead has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial talent for batting average), grading out in the 92nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Starling Marte has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.430) provides evidence that Starling Marte has had some very poor luck this year with his .333 actual wOBA. With a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Starling Marte has performed in the 80th percentile.

Tomas Nido has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Francisco Lindor has been unlucky this year, compiling a .282 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .057 discrepancy. Posting a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor has performed in the 84th percentile for offensive skills.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Rene Pinto will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Rene Pinto has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Rene Pinto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Harrison Bader has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.