NBC Bay Area, MLBN, NBCSP

Philadelphia @ San Francisco props

Oracle Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+495
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+495
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Matt Chapman has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .240 BA is quite a bit lower than his .249 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Matt Chapman has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .240 BA is quite a bit lower than his .249 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cristian Pache Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

C. Pache
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+414
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+414
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Cristian Pache will have an advantage in today's game. Cristian Pache has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Cristian Pache's footspeed has improved this season. His 27.84 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.34 ft/sec now. Since the start of last season, Cristian Pache's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 76th percentile at 93.9 mph.

Cristian Pache

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Cristian Pache will have an advantage in today's game. Cristian Pache has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Cristian Pache's footspeed has improved this season. His 27.84 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.34 ft/sec now. Since the start of last season, Cristian Pache's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 76th percentile at 93.9 mph.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Soler
designated hitter DH • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+262
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+262
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Jorge Soler has been unlucky this year. His .215 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .242. Since the start of last season, Jorge Soler's 14.7% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Jorge Soler has been unlucky this year. His .215 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .242. Since the start of last season, Jorge Soler's 14.7% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+252
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+252
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an edge in today's matchup. Nick Castellanos has been unlucky this year, posting a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .057 gap.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an edge in today's matchup. Nick Castellanos has been unlucky this year, posting a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .057 gap.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+202
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+202
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Alec Bohm will have an edge in today's matchup. Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Alec Bohm will have an edge in today's matchup. Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

W. Merrifield
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+219
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+219
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Whit Merrifield will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Whit Merrifield has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Despite posting a .250 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Whit Merrifield has had bad variance on his side given the .050 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Whit Merrifield will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Whit Merrifield has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Despite posting a .250 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Whit Merrifield has had bad variance on his side given the .050 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+213
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Posting a .423 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Bryce Harper finds himself in the 100th percentile for offensive skills. With a .318 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bryce Harper is positioned in the 99th percentile.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Posting a .423 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Bryce Harper finds himself in the 100th percentile for offensive skills. With a .318 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bryce Harper is positioned in the 99th percentile.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the upper hand in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the upper hand in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Bryson Stott has notched a .301 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. As it relates to plate discipline, Bryson Stott's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 0.95 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 98th percentile.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Bryson Stott's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Bryson Stott has notched a .301 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. As it relates to plate discipline, Bryson Stott's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 0.95 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 98th percentile.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber's 16.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber's 16.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Johan Rojas will have an advantage today. Johan Rojas has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 29.35 ft/sec to 29.91 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Checking in at the 84th percentile, Johan Rojas sits with a .330 BABIP since the start of last season.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Johan Rojas will have an advantage today. Johan Rojas has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 29.35 ft/sec to 29.91 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Checking in at the 84th percentile, Johan Rojas sits with a .330 BABIP since the start of last season.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Heliot Ramos will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Heliot Ramos's 14.3% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 91st percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Heliot Ramos has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.7 mph (a reliable standard to study power), ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Heliot Ramos will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Heliot Ramos's 14.3% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 91st percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Heliot Ramos has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.7 mph (a reliable standard to study power), ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Luis Matos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Matos
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Luis Matos is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Luis Matos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Luis Matos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Luis Matos is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Luis Matos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Over the past two weeks, Edmundo Sosa has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .438. With a .333 BABIP since the start of last season, Edmundo Sosa finds himself in the 85th percentile.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Over the past two weeks, Edmundo Sosa has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .438. With a .333 BABIP since the start of last season, Edmundo Sosa finds himself in the 85th percentile.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Thairo Estrada has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Thairo Estrada will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) provides evidence that Thairo Estrada has been unlucky this year with his .239 actual batting average.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Thairo Estrada has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Thairo Estrada will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) provides evidence that Thairo Estrada has been unlucky this year with his .239 actual batting average.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. J.T. Realmuto will have the handedness advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto's 11.2% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 76th percentile among his peers.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. J.T. Realmuto will have the handedness advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto's 11.2% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 76th percentile among his peers.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 94th percentile with a 19.7° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in Major League Baseball.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 94th percentile with a 19.7° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in Major League Baseball.

Brett Wisely Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Wisely
second base 2B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Brett Wisely will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brett Wisely will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brett Wisely has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .231 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .267 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Brett Wisely has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 23.7° mark is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (96th percentile).

Brett Wisely

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Brett Wisely will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brett Wisely will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brett Wisely has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .231 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .267 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Brett Wisely has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 23.7° mark is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (96th percentile).

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Patrick Bailey pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Patrick Bailey will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Patrick Bailey grades out in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47% rate since the start of last season).

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Patrick Bailey pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Patrick Bailey will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Patrick Bailey grades out in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47% rate since the start of last season).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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