Cincinnati @ Chicago props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Steer is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.5% rate since the start of last season).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jeimer Candelario ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Jeimer Candelario and his 17.8% rank in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jonathan India has posted a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 75th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. The standard deviation of Jonathan India's launch angle since the start of last season (26.3°) is in the 81st percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.

Nico Hoerner's batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, Nico Hoerner grades out in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .285.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage over Graham Ashcraft in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Graham Ashcraft.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an edge in today's matchup. In terms of plate discipline, T.J. Friedl's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.91 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 79th percentile. Checking in at the 80th percentile, T.J. Friedl has put up a .267 batting average since the start of last season.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nick Martini will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Martini has been unlucky given the .054 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306. Posting a .335 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nick Martini has performed in the 77th percentile for hitting ability.

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Jake Fraley will have the upper hand in today's game. Jake Fraley has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .302 figure is a fair amount lower than his .350 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jake Fraley's 16.3° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the majors: 79th percentile.

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Mike Tauchman will hold the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft today. Mike Tauchman has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's game. Since the start of last season, Michael Busch's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 80th percentile at 94.5 mph. Michael Busch and his 22° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 93rd percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Yan Gomes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yan Gomes's true offensive ability to be a .279, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .101 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .178 wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Graham Ashcraft in today's game. Ian Happ has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Wrigley Field has the 10th-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Miguel Amaya will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .241 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Miguel Amaya has had some very poor luck given the .048 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Miguel Amaya ranks in the 86th percentile with a 18.6° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in baseball.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Tyler Stephenson's 94.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 78th percentile since the start of last season. Tyler Stephenson grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.2% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Tyler Stephenson's launch angle since the start of last season (26.1°) is in the 83rd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Javier Assad. Ranking in the 99th percentile, the hardest ball Elly De La Cruz has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 119.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Pete Crow-Armstrong's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Will Benson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Will Benson has been lucky this year. His .196 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .183. Since the start of last season, Will Benson's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 84th percentile at 94.8 mph. Will Benson is in the 83rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.3% rate since the start of last season).