Minnesota @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-worst park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Chris Paddack will have the handedness advantage over Anthony Volpe today. Anthony Volpe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Royce Lewis is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Royce Lewis will have the upper hand today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Ryan Jeffers will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Carlos Correa ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Carlos Correa will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Alex Verdugo will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Aaron Judge's 26.9% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 100th percentile since the start of last season.

This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Carlos Rodon. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today. As it relates to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.83 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 78th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Byron Buxton will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Byron Buxton, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Austin Wells has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .209 actual batting average.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Gleyber Torres has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Gleyber Torres will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gleyber Torres has had bad variance on his side given the .041 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

DJ LeMahieu's batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. DJ LeMahieu will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. DJ LeMahieu's speed has gotten better this season. His 25.62 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.68 ft/sec now.

This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today. Willi Castro has posted a .334 BABIP this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Giancarlo Stanton has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .232 mark is quite a bit lower than his .236 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Manuel Margot is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Manuel Margot will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's matchup. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Anthony Rizzo will have the upper hand today. Anthony Rizzo pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Rizzo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Anthony Rizzo grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).

This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Kyle Farmer will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today. In terms of his batting average, Kyle Farmer has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .236 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257. Kyle Farmer has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 17.4° angle is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (92nd percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jose Miranda is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. This game is expected to have the highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jose Miranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Christian Vazquez has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.