NBC Bay Area, Bally Sports Network

San Francisco @ Texas props

Globe Life Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

The #1 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field's centerfield fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Spencer Howard throws from, Marcus Semien will have a tough challenge today. Marcus Semien's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 108.6 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 13th percentile.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #1 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field's centerfield fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Spencer Howard throws from, Marcus Semien will have a tough challenge today. Marcus Semien's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 108.6 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 13th percentile.

Tyler Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Fitzgerald
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have the upper hand in today's game. Tyler Fitzgerald is remarkably quick, checking in at the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.76 ft/sec this year.

Tyler Fitzgerald

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have the upper hand in today's game. Tyler Fitzgerald is remarkably quick, checking in at the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.76 ft/sec this year.

Josh H. Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Josh Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Howard in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, Josh Smith is in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .347. Josh Smith's 10.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Josh H. Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Howard in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, Josh Smith is in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .347. Josh Smith's 10.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Heliot Ramos's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heliot Ramos is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Heliot Ramos will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game. Heliot Ramos's 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Placing in the 83rd percentile, the hardest ball Heliot Ramos has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.7 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Heliot Ramos's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heliot Ramos is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Heliot Ramos will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game. Heliot Ramos's 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Placing in the 83rd percentile, the hardest ball Heliot Ramos has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.7 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Texas

N. Lowe
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Howard in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Using Statcast data, Nathaniel Lowe ranks in the 79th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Howard in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Using Statcast data, Nathaniel Lowe ranks in the 79th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jonah Heim ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season).

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jonah Heim ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season).

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Michael Conforto will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.435) may lead us to conclude that Michael Conforto has been unlucky this year with his .343 actual wOBA. Michael Conforto's 94.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Michael Conforto will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.435) may lead us to conclude that Michael Conforto has been unlucky this year with his .343 actual wOBA. Michael Conforto's 94.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

Curt Casali Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Casali
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Curt Casali will have an advantage today. Curt Casali's 21° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in MLB: 93rd percentile.

Curt Casali

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Curt Casali will have an advantage today. Curt Casali's 21° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in MLB: 93rd percentile.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Leody Taveras will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Leody Taveras has compiled a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Utilizing Statcast data, Leody Taveras is in the 97th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .300.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Leody Taveras will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Leody Taveras has compiled a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Utilizing Statcast data, Leody Taveras is in the 97th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .300.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Soler
designated hitter DH • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Jorge Soler will have an edge in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Jorge Soler has suffered from bad luck this year. His .215 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .250. Since the start of last season, Jorge Soler's 14.7% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jorge Soler has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.8 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), placing in the 91st percentile.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Jorge Soler will have an edge in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Jorge Soler has suffered from bad luck this year. His .215 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .250. Since the start of last season, Jorge Soler's 14.7% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jorge Soler has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.8 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), placing in the 91st percentile.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Matt Chapman will have an advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Chapman has had bad variance on his side this year. His .317 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342. Matt Chapman's 17.4% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Matt Chapman will have an advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Chapman has had bad variance on his side this year. His .317 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342. Matt Chapman's 17.4% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.

Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Duran
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Duran is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Duran ranks in the 76th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .342. Ezequiel Duran has posted a .280 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ezequiel Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Duran is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Duran ranks in the 76th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .342. Ezequiel Duran has posted a .280 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

W. Langford
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Wyatt Langford has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .047 disparity. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.58 ft/sec this year, Wyatt Langford is quite quick.

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Wyatt Langford has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .047 disparity. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.58 ft/sec this year, Wyatt Langford is quite quick.

Travis Jankowski Total Hits Props • Texas

T. Jankowski
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Travis Jankowski will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Howard in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Travis Jankowski will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Travis Jankowski has compiled a .264 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Travis Jankowski has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile with a 1.45 K/BB rate.

Travis Jankowski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Travis Jankowski will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Howard in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Travis Jankowski will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Travis Jankowski has compiled a .264 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Travis Jankowski has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile with a 1.45 K/BB rate.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Wilmer Flores will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wilmer Flores ranks in the 98th percentile with a 21.6° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the league. By putting up a 1.58 K/BB rate this year, Wilmer Flores has shown strong plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Wilmer Flores will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wilmer Flores ranks in the 98th percentile with a 21.6° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the league. By putting up a 1.58 K/BB rate this year, Wilmer Flores has shown strong plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has put up a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Adolis Garcia's 16.2% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 96th percentile among his peers.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has put up a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Adolis Garcia's 16.2% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 96th percentile among his peers.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Thairo Estrada will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Thairo Estrada has experienced some negative variance this year. His .250 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .251. Thairo Estrada grades out in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (46% rate since the start of last season).

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Thairo Estrada will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Thairo Estrada has experienced some negative variance this year. His .250 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .251. Thairo Estrada grades out in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (46% rate since the start of last season).

Robbie Grossman Total Hits Props • Texas

R. Grossman
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Robbie Grossman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .265 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Robbie Grossman has suffered from bad luck given the .042 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307. Robbie Grossman's 20° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in Major League Baseball: 95th percentile. As it relates to plate discipline, Robbie Grossman's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.64 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 89th percentile.

Robbie Grossman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Robbie Grossman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .265 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Robbie Grossman has suffered from bad luck given the .042 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307. Robbie Grossman's 20° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in Major League Baseball: 95th percentile. As it relates to plate discipline, Robbie Grossman's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.64 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 89th percentile.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Casey Schmitt will have an advantage in today's game.

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Casey Schmitt will have an advantage in today's game.

Austin Slater Total Hits Props • San Francisco

A. Slater
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Austin Slater is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Slater is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Austin Slater will have an advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Slater has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .310 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .336. Austin Slater has posted a .262 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Austin Slater

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Austin Slater is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Slater is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Austin Slater will have an advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Slater has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .310 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .336. Austin Slater has posted a .262 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.348) implies that Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side this year with his .338 actual wOBA. Patrick Bailey is in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47% rate since the start of last season). Checking in at the 76th percentile, Patrick Bailey sits with a .316 BABIP since the start of last season.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.348) implies that Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side this year with his .338 actual wOBA. Patrick Bailey is in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47% rate since the start of last season). Checking in at the 76th percentile, Patrick Bailey sits with a .316 BABIP since the start of last season.

Andrew Knizner Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Knizner
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andrew Knizner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Andrew Knizner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andrew Knizner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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