MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TB @

BOS Fri, Jul 17 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+236)

Projection 0.52

Best Odds

o0.5 +236

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +236

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +205

o0.5 +210

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

+236 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+157)

Projection 0.72

Best Odds

o0.5 +157

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +157

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +140

o0.5 +147

o0.5 +145

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+157 at DraftKings

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LAD @

NYY Fri, Jul 17 • 7:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o9.5 (+105)

Best Odds

o9.0 -120

Pick made: 14 hours ago

o9.0 -120

o9.5 -115

o9.0 -122

o9.0 -120

o9.5 +100

I’m playing the Over because both offenses have a clear matchup path. Sasaki’s fastball and barrel issues give New York a real chance to do damage early, even without Aaron Judge

Gerritt Cole is the better starter, but this is still the Dodgers’ lineup. And he hasn't been Vintage Cole either. LA can punish his elevated-contact profile, with Cole allowing a 9.2% barrel rate and 40.3% hard-hit rate this season. I projected 10.1 and would play this to -115.

Moneyline

NYY (+101)

Best Odds

-105

Pick made: 14 hours ago

-107

-110

-108

-105

-110

If the New York Yankees are going to make a charge in the AL East, there's no better time than now against the best team in baseball, the Los Angeles Dodgers. I’m playing them down to -110.

Roki Sasaki’s biggest flaw runs into New York’s best offensive path. Sasaki has allowed a 12.8% barrel rate and 44.9% hard-hit rate, and his four-seamer has been hit for a .606 SLG. These are all things the Yankees excel at, arriving at this game with the highest barrel rate in baseball, the third-highest hard-hit rate, and several strong hitters against the heater.

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PIT @

CLE Fri, Jul 17 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.58

Best Odds

o0.5 +195

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +173

o0.5 +175

When it comes to his home run skill, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Kyle Manzardo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's game.. Kyle Manzardo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

+195 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)

Projection 0.57

Best Odds

o0.5 +196

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +196

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +173

o0.5 +180

When assessing his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Gavin Williams in today's matchup.. Brandon Lowe may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

+196 at DraftKings

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$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

ATL Fri, Jul 17 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+180)

Projection 0.92

Best Odds

u0.5 +190

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +180

u0.5 +190

u0.5 +180

u0.5 +175

u0.5 +190

The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 5th-best out of every team playing today.

+190 at bet365

Total Bases

Kyle Higashioka o1.5 Total Bases (+255)

Projection 1.26

Best Odds

o1.5 +255

Pick made: 26 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +255

o1.5 +170

Given Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Kyle Higashioka will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

+255 at bet365

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CHW @

TOR Fri, Jul 17 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)

Projection 0.75

Best Odds

o0.5 +173

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +173

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +158

o0.5 +150

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme flyball hitters like Miguel Vargas tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Miles.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

+173 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+233)

Projection 0.5

Best Odds

o0.5 +233

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +233

o0.5 +215

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +205

o0.5 +200

Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

+233 at DraftKings

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MIA @

MIL Fri, Jul 17 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +155

Pick made: 7 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +153

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +155

As it relates to his home run skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Heriberto Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

+155 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Jakob Marsee o1.5 Total Bases (+232)

Projection 1.4

Best Odds

o1.5 +232

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +232

o1.5 +215

o1.5 +210

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +215

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jakob Marsee will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.

+232 at DraftKings

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MIN @

CHC Fri, Jul 17 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+103)

Projection 2.29

Best Odds

o1.5 +103

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +103

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +101

o1.5 -105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Colin Rea in this game.

+103 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Michael Conforto o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.86

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 33 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today's game.. Michael Conforto has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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SD @

KC Fri, Jul 17 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.85

Best Odds

o1.5 +116

Pick made: 12 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Jac Caglianone will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

+116 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Projection 2.27

Best Odds

o1.5 -105

Pick made: 17 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -112

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge in today's game.

-105 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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BAL @

HOU Fri, Jul 17 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)

Projection 0.61

Best Odds

o0.5 +215

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +215

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +177

o0.5 +175

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

+215 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Projection 2.29

Best Odds

o1.5 -105

Pick made: 15 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -114

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -114

o1.5 -105

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

-105 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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CIN @

COL Fri, Jul 17 • 8:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+105)

Projection 1.08

Best Odds

o0.5 +105

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +105

o0.5 -105

o0.5 -115

o0.5 -105

o0.5 -104

o0.5 -110

Hunter Goodman projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 92°.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage today.

+105 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)

Projection 1.02

Best Odds

o0.5 +110

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +110

o0.5 +105

o0.5 +100

o0.5 +110

o0.5 +106

o0.5 +105

When it comes to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 92°.. Given Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Mickey Moniak will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today.

+110 at DraftKings

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DET @

LAA Fri, Jul 17 • 9:38 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.67

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +171

o0.5 +175

Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+190 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Jorge Soler o0.5 Total RBIs (+191)

Projection 0.59

Best Odds

o0.5 +191

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +191

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +179

o0.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Jorge Soler will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

+191 at DraftKings

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WAS @

ATH Fri, Jul 17 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 2.02

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +117

o1.5 +125

Dylan Crews is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 92°.. Dylan Crews will have the handedness advantage over Gage Jump today.. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.

+125 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Colby Thomas u0.5 Total Hits (+165)

Projection 0.75

Best Odds

u0.5 +165

Pick made: 9 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +165

Colby Thomas has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Batting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Colby Thomas will be at a disadvantage today.. Colby Thomas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 11th-deepest CF fences today.. Among every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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STL @

AZ Fri, Jul 17 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+109)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +109

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +103

o1.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. JJ Wetherholt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today.

+109 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+105)

Projection 1.96

Best Odds

o1.5 +105

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +103

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -103

o1.5 +105

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Michael McGreevy today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+105 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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SF @

SEA Fri, Jul 17 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Dominic Canzone u1.5 Total Bases (-190)

Projection 0.84

Best Odds

u1.5 -185

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -193

u1.5 -210

u1.5 -190

u1.5 -185

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

-185 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+180)

Projection 1.59

Best Odds

o1.5 +180

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +180

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +180

o1.5 +170

Cal Raleigh projects as the 7th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Landen Roupp in today's game.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Batters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Landen Roupp who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

+180 at bet365

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AZ @

STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET

6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Game Prop

o2.5 Team Total (-115)

Best Odds

o2.5 +114

Pick made: 21 days ago

o2.5 +114

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed

Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)

Best Odds

o2.5 -137

Pick made: 21 days ago

o2.5 -137

o2.5 -150

o2.5 -141

o2.5 -155

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

Read Full Analysis

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TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: 25 days ago

o0.5 +370

o0.5 +425

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: 25 days ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: one month ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: one month ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: one month ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: one month ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Pick made: 28 days ago

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: 28 days ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 2 Picks

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What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.