FOX

Atlanta @ New York props

Yankee Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #22 field in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Anthony Volpe will have a disadvantage today. Anthony Volpe has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 84.9-mph over the past two weeks. Anthony Volpe's launch angle this year (5°) is a significant dropoff from his 14.1° figure last season.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #22 field in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Anthony Volpe will have a disadvantage today. Anthony Volpe has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 84.9-mph over the past two weeks. Anthony Volpe's launch angle this year (5°) is a significant dropoff from his 14.1° figure last season.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #22 field in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-deepest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Yankee Stadium. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Judge in today's game. Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 101.9-mph figure last season has lowered to 99.6-mph.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #22 field in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-deepest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Yankee Stadium. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Judge in today's game. Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 101.9-mph figure last season has lowered to 99.6-mph.

Ben Rice Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

B. Rice
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Benjamin Rice will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Benjamin Rice will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Benjamin Rice has posted a 41.7° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Ben Rice

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Benjamin Rice will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Benjamin Rice will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Benjamin Rice has posted a 41.7° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Charlie Morton in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Charlie Morton in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta

J. Kelenic
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In the past week's worth of games, Jarred Kelenic's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 17.6%.

Jarred Kelenic

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In the past week's worth of games, Jarred Kelenic's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 17.6%.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's game. Matt Olson pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's game. Matt Olson pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Soto
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Morton in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Morton in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
third base 3B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Charlie Morton. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Oswaldo Cabrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Charlie Morton. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Oswaldo Cabrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Wells
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Austin Wells has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .275 figure is considerably lower than his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Austin Wells is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.1% rate since the start of last season).

Austin Wells

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Austin Wells has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .275 figure is considerably lower than his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Austin Wells is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.1% rate since the start of last season).

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's game. Gleyber Torres has been unlucky this year, putting up a .285 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .043 discrepancy.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's game. Gleyber Torres has been unlucky this year, putting up a .285 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .043 discrepancy.

Forrest Wall Total Hits Props • Atlanta

F. Wall
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Forrest Wall will have an edge in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Since the start of last season, Forrest Wall's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 98th percentile at 99 mph.

Forrest Wall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Forrest Wall will have an edge in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Since the start of last season, Forrest Wall's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 98th percentile at 99 mph.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Atlanta

R. Laureano
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Ramon Laureano has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.5% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last week. Over the last 7 days, Ramon Laureano's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph recently. Ramon Laureano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 15.2% on the season to 28.6% in the last week's worth of games. Ramon Laureano has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .217 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Ramon Laureano has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.5% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last week. Over the last 7 days, Ramon Laureano's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph recently. Ramon Laureano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 15.2% on the season to 28.6% in the last week's worth of games. Ramon Laureano has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .217 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Orlando Arcia's true offensive ability to be a .285, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .030 difference between that mark and his actual .255 wOBA.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Orlando Arcia's true offensive ability to be a .285, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .030 difference between that mark and his actual .255 wOBA.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Stanton
designated hitter DH • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage today. Giancarlo Stanton has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 19.5% seasonal rate to 26.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage today. Giancarlo Stanton has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 19.5% seasonal rate to 26.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Travis d'Arnaud Total Hits Props • Atlanta

T. d'Arnaud
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Travis d'Arnaud has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. As it relates to his batting average, Travis d'Arnaud has experienced some negative variance this year. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256. Travis d'Arnaud's 11.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 81st percentile this year. Travis d'Arnaud's 94.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 81st percentile this year.

Travis d'Arnaud

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Travis d'Arnaud has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. As it relates to his batting average, Travis d'Arnaud has experienced some negative variance this year. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256. Travis d'Arnaud's 11.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 81st percentile this year. Travis d'Arnaud's 94.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 81st percentile this year.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Extreme flyball bats like Adam Duvall are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In the past week, Adam Duvall's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.318) provides evidence that Adam Duvall has had bad variance on his side this year with his .249 actual wOBA.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Extreme flyball bats like Adam Duvall are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In the past week, Adam Duvall's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.318) provides evidence that Adam Duvall has had bad variance on his side this year with his .249 actual wOBA.

DJ LeMahieu Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

D. LeMahieu
second base 2B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. DJ LeMahieu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. DJ LeMahieu has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .238 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .252 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

DJ LeMahieu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. DJ LeMahieu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. DJ LeMahieu has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .238 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .252 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. This season, Marcell Ozuna has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.5 mph compared to last year's 96.5 mph mark. Marcell Ozuna's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (21.8°) is significantly better than his 15.9° figure last season.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. This season, Marcell Ozuna has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.5 mph compared to last year's 96.5 mph mark. Marcell Ozuna's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (21.8°) is significantly better than his 15.9° figure last season.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-280
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-280
Projection Rating

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Austin Riley has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 94.3-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Austin Riley's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 43.8% on the season to 53.8% in the last week.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Austin Riley has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 94.3-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Austin Riley's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 43.8% on the season to 53.8% in the last week.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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