Final Jun 29
COL 3 -102 o9.0
CHW 11 -106 u9.0
Final Jun 29
CIN 9 +176 o8.0
STL 4 -194 u8.0
Final Jun 29
NYY 3 -120 o8.0
TOR 9 +111 u8.0
Final Jun 29
MIA 3 +215 o9.0
PHI 2 -239 u9.0
Final Jun 29
CLE 7 -114 o7.0
KC 2 +105 u7.0
Final Jun 29
WAS 8 +126 o7.5
TB 1 -137 u7.5
Final (10) Jun 29
PIT 1 +126 o7.5
ATL 2 -136 u7.5
Final Jun 29
SD 11 +125 o8.5
BOS 1 -136 u8.5
Final Jun 29
CHC 5 +105 o8.0
MIL 3 -113 u8.0
Final Jun 29
HOU 9 +103 o9.0
NYM 6 -111 u9.0
Final Jun 29
OAK 0 +167 o8.5
AZ 3 -183 u8.5
Final Jun 29
TEX 5 +148 o9.5
BAL 6 -161 u9.5
Final (11) Jun 29
LAD 14 -191 o7.0
SF 7 +174 u7.0
Final (10) Jun 29
DET 5 -112 o8.0
LAA 6 +103 u8.0
Final Jun 29
MIN 5 -116 o7.0
SEA 1 +107 u7.0
Bally Sports Network, NESN

Boston @ Cincinnati props

Great American Ball Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Steer
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

Zack Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Spencer Steer's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 92.2 mph to 86.6 mph.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Zack Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Spencer Steer's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 92.2 mph to 86.6 mph.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. David Hamilton's launch angle of late (25.3° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 13° seasonal figure. Grading out in the 85th percentile, David Hamilton sits with a .330 BABIP since the start of last season.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. David Hamilton's launch angle of late (25.3° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 13° seasonal figure. Grading out in the 85th percentile, David Hamilton sits with a .330 BABIP since the start of last season.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyler O'Neill will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyler O'Neill will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Over the last 7 days, Dominic Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 16.7%. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, Dominic Smith has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 37° figure in the past week's worth of games. Posting a 1.9 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Dominic Smith has demonstrated strong plate discipline, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Over the last 7 days, Dominic Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 16.7%. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, Dominic Smith has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 37° figure in the past week's worth of games. Posting a 1.9 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Dominic Smith has demonstrated strong plate discipline, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 9th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph figure.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 9th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph figure.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Rafael Devers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93-mph to 95.6-mph in the past 14 days.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rafael Devers projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Rafael Devers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93-mph to 95.6-mph in the past 14 days.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo today. Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 107.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo today. Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 107.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

Nick Martini Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

N. Martini
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Kelly throws from, Nick Martini will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Martini will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Nick Martini ranks in the 89th percentile with a 19.3° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in baseball.

Nick Martini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Kelly throws from, Nick Martini will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Martini will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Nick Martini ranks in the 89th percentile with a 19.3° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in baseball.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Connor Wong's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Connor Wong will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Wong's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Connor Wong will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

E. De La Cruz
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 4th-best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Zack Kelly in today's game. Elly De La Cruz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 4th-best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Zack Kelly in today's game. Elly De La Cruz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's game.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's game.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Gonzalez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have the upper hand in today's game. Romy Gonzalez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Romy Gonzalez has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .221 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have the upper hand in today's game. Romy Gonzalez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Romy Gonzalez has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .221 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Espinal
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Santiago Espinal's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph mark.

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Santiago Espinal's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph mark.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 87.2-mph EV.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 87.2-mph EV.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. India
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Jonathan India will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jonathan India's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 46.2% on the season to 66.7% in the last week's worth of games.

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Jonathan India will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jonathan India's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 46.2% on the season to 66.7% in the last week's worth of games.

Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

W. Benson
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Kelly throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Will Benson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This year, Will Benson's 13.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 89th percentile among his peers. With a .357 BABIP since the start of last season, Will Benson is ranked in the 98th percentile.

Will Benson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Kelly throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Will Benson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This year, Will Benson's 13.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 89th percentile among his peers. With a .357 BABIP since the start of last season, Will Benson is ranked in the 98th percentile.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Tyler Stephenson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Tyler Stephenson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

T.J. Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. T.J. Friedl will have the handedness advantage against Zack Kelly in today's game. T.J. Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and T.J. Friedl will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

T.J. Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. T.J. Friedl will have the handedness advantage against Zack Kelly in today's game. T.J. Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and T.J. Friedl will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Stuart Fairchild Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Fairchild
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Stuart Fairchild pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Stuart Fairchild will hold that advantage today. There has been a significant improvement in Stuart Fairchild's launch angle from last year's 14.1° to 19.6° this year.

Stuart Fairchild

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Stuart Fairchild pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Stuart Fairchild will hold that advantage today. There has been a significant improvement in Stuart Fairchild's launch angle from last year's 14.1° to 19.6° this year.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Fraley
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Jake Fraley is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Jake Fraley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Kelly in today's game. Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Jake Fraley will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jake Fraley is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Jake Fraley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Kelly in today's game. Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Jake Fraley will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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