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NYM vs PIT Consensus Picks
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Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Oneil Cruz's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 88°. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.
Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Andrew McCutchen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game.
Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Jared Triolo will have an edge in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams playing today.
Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Michael A. Taylor will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams playing today. Michael A. Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Joey Bart will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams playing today. Joey Bart will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Long-balls are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in the majors. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Sean Manaea in this game. In the past week, Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph of late. Over the last 14 days, Bryan Reynolds's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.6%. Bryan Reynolds has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .284 rate is inflated compared to his .264 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Pete Alonso has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89-mph figure.
Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Long-balls are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in the majors. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his bad side (0) today against Luis Ortiz... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Ortiz's huge platoon split. Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Connor Joe is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Connor Joe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams playing today.
Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Edward Olivares will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Manaea in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams playing today.
Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Luis Ortiz in today's game... and the cherry on top, Ortiz has a huge platoon split. Jeff McNeil has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 87-mph EV.
Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Mark Vientos has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 15.5% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past 14 days. Over the past 14 days, Mark Vientos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 101.7-mph of late. Mark Vientos's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 45.9% on the season to 57.7% over the past two weeks.
Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the handedness advantage over Sean Manaea in today's matchup.
J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. J.D. Martinez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, falling from 46.3% on the season to 33.3% in the last week.
Yasmani Grandal Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Yasmani Grandal will get to bat from his strong side against Sean Manaea in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team in action today. Yasmani Grandal will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Yasmani Grandal has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year's 87.9-mph mark.
Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Harrison Bader has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.6% seasonal rate to 20% over the past week. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 43.5% on the season to 37.5% in the last week's worth of games. Sporting a .269 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Harrison Bader finds himself in the 79th percentile. Grading out in the 80th percentile, Harrison Bader has notched a .274 batting average this year.
Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 11.1% on the season to 25% over the past two weeks.
DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. D.J. Stewart will have the handedness advantage against Luis Ortiz in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Ortiz has a huge platoon split. D.J. Stewart has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .176 BA is a fair amount lower than his .218 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, D.J. Stewart's 11.2% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers.
Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Jose Iglesias has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.8-mph mark. Jose Iglesias has been hot lately, cruising to a .361 wOBA in the last two weeks.
NYM vs PIT Trends
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 away games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 80 games (+17.50 Units / 18% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 away games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 80 games (-29.05 Units / -31% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 40 away games (-15.00 Units / -35% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 40 away games (-12.05 Units / -25% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 games (-3.20 Units / -36% ROI)
Pittsburgh Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+13.35 Units / 14% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.95 Units / 15% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 83 games (-28.10 Units / -28% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 77 games (-13.45 Units / -15% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-13.00 Units / -14% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 29 games at home (-12.30 Units / -35% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 72 games (-8.20 Units / -9% ROI)
NYM vs PIT Top User Picks
More PicksNY Mets Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||
Pittsburgh Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJONES1068 | 4-5-1 | +24865 |
| 2 | ThorsHammer | 5-5-0 | +20390 |
| 3 | halfricanknight | 4-6-0 | +18418 |
| 4 | MLBFan8848 | 6-3-1 | +18105 |
| 5 | samua | 6-3-1 | +16845 |
| 6 | chefsloan7 | 5-4-1 | +16115 |
| 7 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +15140 |
| 9 | jnc3lb | 7-2-1 | +13730 |
| 10 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +13455 |
| All Pirates Money Leaders | |||