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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 15, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.18 |
-225 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
-1.5 -130 
|
|
4.17 |
+196
|
u8.5 +100 
|
+1.5 +115 
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+110
|
o8.0 -129
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.75 |
-125
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +168
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. American League Central.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Foster Griffin o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-130)
o4.5-110
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.91 |
+190
|
o7.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -114
|
|
4.81 |
-220
|
u8.5 -132
|
-1.5 +100
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Jonah Heim o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1200)
o0.5+1260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.94 |
-240
|
o7.5 -114
|
-1.5 -135
|
|
3.91 |
+210
|
u7.5 -105 
|
+1.5 +115
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Top Projection
Lake Bachar o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-194)
o1.5-190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
-205
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
2.97 |
+180
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 +105
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 overall.
Washington
- Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
u0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
+118
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
4.36 |
-130
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Detroit
- Over is 2-0-2 in Tigers last 4 overall.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)
o0.5+187
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
+110
|
o7.5 -122
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.69 |
-125
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
Baltimore
- Over is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 interleague starts.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
+120
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.82 |
-135
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
Atlanta
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 10-2 in Braves last 12 games as a road favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-1-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-2-1 in Cubs last 10 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 7-2-1 in Cubs last 10 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.31 |
-166
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
3.73 |
+150
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -115
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Twins are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League East.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
o0.5+130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.77 |
+140
|
o8.0 -119
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.95 |
-160
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 on grass.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.51 |
-120
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.92 |
+106
|
u8.5 -132
|
+1.5 -155
|
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.98 |
+140
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.25 |
-155
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
Kansas City
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 on grass.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
o1.5+144
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.49 |
-188
|
o11.5 -105
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
5.87 |
+170
|
u11.5 -114
|
+1.5 +110
|
San Diego
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 games as a favorite.
Colorado
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Kyle Freeland o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
o2.5+107
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.02 |
-165
|
o8.0 -105
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
3.78 |
+145
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -115
|
Seattle
- Over is 7-0 in Mariners last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Mariners are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.
LA Angels
- Under is 8-1-1 in Angels last 10 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+135
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.96 |
-150
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +145
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 on grass.
Arizona
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
LAD
@
CIN
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Spread
LAD -1.5 (-137)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gives Los Angeles a massive edge on the mound against Rhett Lowder, who carries a 5.81 ERA into Tuesday. Rather than paying a premium on the Dodgers moneyline, I’ll lay the run and a half. With L.A.’s lineup capable of creating separation against Lowder, this sets up well for a multi-run Dodgers win.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Teoscar Hernandez has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.5% seasonal rate to 19.4% in the past 14 days.
CHW
@
CLE
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-123)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
I'm definitely backing the Cleveland Guardians and Foster Griffin at 55%, as I price them closer to a 59% favorite against the Chicago White Sox in this crucial AL Central matchup. This is a tough matchup for White Sox starter Davis Martin. His main strikeout pitches are his slider and curveball, but the Guardians are likely to stack the lineup with eight left-handed bats, meaning those pitches will be breaking into the barrels of their hitters. We also know how patient this lineup is. Martin doesn't feature an overpowering four-seam fastball and instead leans on his sinker as his best pitch. However, hitters such as José Ramírez and Chase DeLauter are exceptional contact hitters who can waste this pitch. Martin is going to be forced to challenge the Guardians in the zone with his four-seamer, and that's an advantage for Cleveland.
Total RBIs
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+142)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate.
ATH
@
TB
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 18th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among every team in action today.
Total Bases
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among every team in action today.. Zack Gelof's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 14.3% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks.. Power-wise, Zack Gelof is positioned in the 79th percentile, having averaged 25.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
MIL
@
PIT
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
William Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+294)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Using Statcast metrics, Brandon Lowe is in the 87th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 29.300.
PHI
@
WAS
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:45 PM ET
Spread
PHI -1.5 (-126)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Cristopher Sanchez has been one of baseball’s most reliable starters this season, posting a 2.79 ERA with 210 strikeouts, and he gets an excellent matchup against Washington. Nationals starter Jackson Kent owns a 6.59 ERA, giving Philadelphia a significant pitching advantage before factoring in the superior lineup. At -126, I’d rather lay the 1.5 runs than pay the inflated moneyline price.
Total Hits
Dylan Crews u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #3 field in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Dylan Crews has notched a .289 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 15th percentile.. Posting a 3.59 K/BB rate this year, Dylan Crews has shown weak plate discipline, grading out in the 13th percentile.
DET
@
TOR
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 5th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. George Springer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 5th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
BAL
@
NYM
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Rece Hinds u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Rece Hinds is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.
Total Bases
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.
ATL
@
CHC
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1200)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 16°, Mike Yastrzemski has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.5° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Total RBIs
Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Austin Riley has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 95-mph.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Riley's true offensive ability to be a .332, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .041 difference between that mark and his actual .291 wOBA.
NYY
@
MIN
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+128)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Cody Bellinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today.. Over the last week, Cody Bellinger's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.7% up to 23.5%.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Royce Lewis will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried in today's game.. Batters such as Royce Lewis with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's game.. Royce Lewis's launch angle this year (20.7°) is a significant increase over his 17.5° mark last season.
SF
@
STL
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ivan Herrera hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Strikeouts Thrown
Andre Pallante o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Projection 4.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tallying 91.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Andre Pallante places in the 75th percentile.. The San Francisco Giants have 5 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jonah Cox, Grant McCray, Bryce Eldridge, Shay Whitcomb, Drew Cavanaugh).. It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jacob Metz) in charge of the strike zone in this game.. Given that flyball hitters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Andre Pallante (56.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing club's projected offense.. Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Andre Pallante will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
KC
@
HOU
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jose Altuve o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jose Altuve will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Jose Altuve's launch angle of late (24.3° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 10.6° seasonal figure.
Total Home Runs
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 78th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.8-mph.
SD
@
COL
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:40 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.31
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today.
Total Bases
Jake McCarthy o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage over Walker Buehler today.
SEA
@
LAA
Tue, Sep 15 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest humidity on the slate today at 77%.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as Major League Baseball's 4th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest humidity on the slate today at 77%.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Ryan Johnson.
MIA
@
AZ
Tue, Sep 15 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Tim Tawa o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Tim Tawa will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.. In the past week, Tim Tawa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 102.4-mph of late.
Total RBIs
Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+273)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Soroka throws from, Joe Mack will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Joe Mack may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.. Joe Mack has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 94-mph in the past week's worth of games.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
