Los Angeles @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 park in the game for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Hitting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Alec Bohm will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Alec Bohm's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 88.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Over the past 14 days, Alec Bohm's 31.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.4%.

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 field in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.370) implies that Bryce Harper has been very fortunate this year with his .407 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Bobby Miller throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage today. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 park in the game for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Batting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) suggests that Trea Turner has had positive variance on his side this year with his .335 actual batting average.

Derek Thomas projects as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping today. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. In the past week's worth of games, Shohei Ohtani's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 99.7 mph to 97.5 mph. Despite posting a .429 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Shohei Ohtani has had some very good luck given the .028 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .401.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for homers. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. Despite posting a .244 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gavin Lux has suffered from bad luck given the .058 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for homers. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Miguel Vargas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 89.4-mph.

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 field in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Freddie Freeman today. Freddie Freeman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 20.7% on the season to 6.3% over the last week.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for homers. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for homers. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Cavan Biggio will have an edge in today's game. Cavan Biggio's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (22.6°) is quite a bit better than his 14.4° mark last season.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for homers. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Johan Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .243 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Johan Rojas has had some very poor luck given the .033 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .276.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for homers. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Bryson Stott's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Bobby Miller throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today.

Miguel Rojas's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for homers. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. By putting up a 1.48 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has shown favorable plate discipline, placing in the 94th percentile.

Nick Castellanos's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for homers. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

James Outman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for homers. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.

Andy Pages is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for homers. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Enrique Hernandez has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.