NYM +131 o8.5
PHI -142 u8.5
SD +125 o8.5
LAD -136 u8.5
Bally Sports Network, COLR

Colorado @ Cincinnati props

Great American Ball Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°.

Hunter Goodman Total Hits Props • Colorado

H. Goodman
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Hunter Goodman will have a tough challenge today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among every team in action today.

Hunter Goodman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Hunter Goodman will have a tough challenge today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among every team in action today.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Steer
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Spencer Steer will be in a tough position today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Spencer Steer's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) has been 108 mph this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Spencer Steer will be in a tough position today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Spencer Steer's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) has been 108 mph this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Nolan Jones has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among every team in action today.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Nolan Jones has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among every team in action today.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. India
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Cal Quantrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Jonathan India has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 83.2-mph over the last 7 days. Jonathan India's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.4-mph EV last year has decreased to 87-mph. Jonathan India has been lucky this year, compiling a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .017 deviation.

Jonathan India

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Cal Quantrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Jonathan India has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 83.2-mph over the last 7 days. Jonathan India's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.4-mph EV last year has decreased to 87-mph. Jonathan India has been lucky this year, compiling a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .017 deviation.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Cal Quantrill will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Stephenson today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%. Over the last 14 days, Tyler Stephenson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.3% to 39.9%.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Cal Quantrill will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Stephenson today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%. Over the last 14 days, Tyler Stephenson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.3% to 39.9%.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Brenton Doyle will have a tough challenge today.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Brenton Doyle will have a tough challenge today.

Edwin Rios Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

E. Rios
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Edwin Rios is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Edwin Rios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's matchup.

Edwin Rios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Edwin Rios is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Edwin Rios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's matchup.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Colorado

J. Stallings
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Jacob Stallings will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jacob Stallings has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among every team in action today.

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Jacob Stallings will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jacob Stallings has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among every team in action today.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Ryan McMahon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Ryan McMahon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

M. Toglia
first base 1B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among every team in action today. Michael Toglia has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 16.3% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among every team in action today. Michael Toglia has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 16.3% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Brendan Rodgers Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Rodgers
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have a tough challenge in today's matchup.

Brendan Rodgers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have a tough challenge in today's matchup.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Diaz
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Elias Diaz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Frankie Montas will have the handedness advantage against Elias Diaz in today's matchup.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Elias Diaz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Frankie Montas will have the handedness advantage against Elias Diaz in today's matchup.

Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado

C. Blackmon
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Charlie Blackmon has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.9% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last week. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, Charlie Blackmon has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24° angle over the last two weeks.

Charlie Blackmon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Charlie Blackmon has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.9% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last week. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, Charlie Blackmon has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24° angle over the last two weeks.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

E. De La Cruz
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Cal Quantrill.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Cal Quantrill.

Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

W. Benson
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Will Benson will have an edge today. Will Benson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Will Benson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 93.6-mph.

Will Benson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Will Benson will have an edge today. Will Benson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Will Benson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 93.6-mph.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

N. Marte
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-295
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-295
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Noelvi Marte will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Noelvi Marte's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) has been 115.6 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 96th percentile.

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Noelvi Marte will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Noelvi Marte's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) has been 115.6 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 96th percentile.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage today.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage today.

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Espinal
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Santiago Espinal has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Santiago Espinal's true offensive skill to be a .283, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .060 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .223 wOBA.

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Santiago Espinal has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Santiago Espinal's true offensive skill to be a .283, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .060 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .223 wOBA.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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