Chicago @ Baltimore props

Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 94.5-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 92.1-mph in the past 7 days. Ryan Mountcastle's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, going from 45% on the season to 25% in the last two weeks.

Batting from the same side that Albert Suarez throws from, Seiya Suzuki will not have the upper hand today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among every team playing today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Seiya Suzuki in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Seiya Suzuki's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.1%. As it relates to his batting average, Seiya Suzuki has been lucky this year. His .258 BA has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .241.

Colton Cowser's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the league for LHB BABIP. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Colton Cowser will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Colton Cowser has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 93.8-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the league for LHB BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today's game.

Batting from the same side that Albert Suarez throws from, Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among every team playing today. Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the past week, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 89.1 mph to 82 mph. Nico Hoerner's launch angle of late (3.3° in the past 7 days) is significantly lower than his 9.4° seasonal angle.

Michael Busch has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the league for LHB BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Albert Suarez in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 15th-best hitter in baseball. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the league for LHB BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mastrobuoni in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the league for LHB BABIP. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Miles Mastrobuoni will hold the platoon advantage over Albert Suarez in today's matchup. Miles Mastrobuoni hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the past 14 days, Christopher Morel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.2-mph of late.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the league for LHB BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Jordan Westburg will have an advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Justin Steele in this game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Dansby Swanson has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.4-mph.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, James McCann will have an edge today. James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and James McCann will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Anthony Santander will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Justin Steele in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Austin Hays will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today. Austin Hays has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the league for LHB BABIP. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's game. Cedric Mullins II's launch angle lately (34.6° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 23.4° seasonal figure.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Jorge Mateo will have the upper hand in today's game. Jorge Mateo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tomas Nido has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Tomas Nido's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 54.8% on the season to 66.7% in the last 7 days. Tomas Nido has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .238 mark is a fair amount lower than his .321 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.