MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

New York Mets logo NYM @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Wed, Jun 17 • 12:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 park in the league for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This contest is projected to have the 10th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.. Francisco Alvarez has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Marcus Semien logo
Marcus Semien o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Marcus Semien has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 park in the league for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This contest is projected to have the 10th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Marcus Semien will have the upper hand today.. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Wed, Jun 17 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 park in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Alec Bohm logo
Alec Bohm o1.5 Total Bases (+146)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Alec Bohm's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #10 stadium in MLB for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. Alec Bohm will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Jun 17 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jacob Young logo
Jacob Young u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jacob Young is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Luinder Avila will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Young in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-129)
Projection 2.5
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 3rd-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Jun 17 • 2:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
FirstInning Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo FirstInning o0.5 (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

This is one of my favorite YRFI spots on the board. Giants starter Adrian Houser enters the day as the worst pitcher on Batters-Box and has struggled mightily in the first inning, posting a 9.00 ERA while allowing opponents to slash .302/.409/.698 through 13 starts. Braves right-hander Grant Holmes is not in much better shape, carrying the third-worst pitcher rating and a 4.83 first-inning ERA. With seven strongly rated Braves bats, five highly rated Giants bats, and a combined nine elite-rated hitters in this matchup, there is plenty of firepower to cash a first-inning run.

Total Bases
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (-103)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Michael Harris II is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Houston Astros logo HOU Wed, Jun 17 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+102)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Casey Mize in today's matchup.. Yordan Alvarez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Jun 17 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andy Pages's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andy Pages is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. In the league, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+159)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average talent.. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Wed, Jun 17 • 3:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jo Adell will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Samuel Aldegheri throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Wed, Jun 17 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Jarren Duran is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's game.. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs
George Springer logo
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #4 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. George Springer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's game.. George Springer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ New York Yankees logo NYY Wed, Jun 17 • 7:05 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Braden Montgomery is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Braden Montgomery is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Jun 17 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+163)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 park in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+149)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 park in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 82°.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Wed, Jun 17 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Travis Bazzana logo
Travis Bazzana u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.. Travis Bazzana will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Total RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brice Turang's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams in today's matchup.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Wed, Jun 17 • 8:05 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field ranks as the #22 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.. Batting from the same side that Javier Assad throws from, Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
Total Hits
TJ Rumfield logo
TJ Rumfield u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The #8 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.. T.J. Rumfield pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Wed, Jun 17 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.3
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #2 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 102°.
Total Bases
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #2 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 102°.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Wed, Jun 17 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers.. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against George Kirby in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Colton Cowser logo
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Colton Cowser ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand today.. Colton Cowser has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams in action today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 5 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks

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