Baltimore @ Toronto props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 5th-worst ballpark in MLB for righty batting average. This contest is projected to have the 9th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, George Springer will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. George Springer has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 5th-worst ballpark in MLB for righty batting average. This contest is projected to have the 9th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have a disadvantage in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 5th-worst park in the majors for lefty batting average. This contest is projected to have the 9th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 5%. Despite posting a .396 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate given the .033 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .363.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 5th-worst ballpark in MLB for righty batting average. This contest is projected to have the 9th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Dean Kremer will hold the platoon advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's game. Addison Barger has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.1-mph. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Addison Barger has had some very poor luck this year. His .249 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .278.

Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cedric Mullins II's true offensive talent to be a .313, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .029 deviation between that mark and his actual .284 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week, Ernie Clement's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 93.3-mph lately. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Ernie Clement's 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.8%.

Joey Loperfido's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Loperfido will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer today. Joey Loperfido hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Joey Loperfido will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Joey Loperfido's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.1% up to 11.1%.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 92.3-mph over the last week.

Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. In the last two weeks, Ramon Urias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 96.9-mph recently.

Eloy Jimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Eloy Jimenez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .291 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eloy Jimenez has suffered from bad luck given the .034 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage today. Spencer Horwitz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. Jackson Holliday has been hot in recent games, putting up a a 23.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) in the last 7 days. Jackson Holliday has been hot recently, posting a 97.7-mph average exit velocity in the last week.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand in today's game. Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#1-worst on the slate). Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge today. Colton Cowser's launch angle of late (17.5° in the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 12.4° seasonal angle.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Adley Rutschman's launch angle this year (17.8°) is considerably better than his 12.5° figure last season. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 47.8% on the season to 57.7% over the past 14 days.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. In the last 14 days, Anthony Santander's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph recently. Anthony Santander's launch angle this season (23.9°) is quite a bit better than his 20° angle last year. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.9°, Anthony Santander has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today. Alejandro Kirk has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season's 90.6-mph mark.