MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 18, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Mon, May 18 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ryan Vilade logo
Ryan Vilade u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Vilade in the 25th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 4th-worst park in MLB for right-handed BABIP.. Ryan Vilade hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ryan Vilade has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .303 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .277.. Posting a .187 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ryan Vilade grades out in the 16th percentile.
Total Hits
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Coby Mayo is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 4th-worst park in MLB for right-handed BABIP.. Coby Mayo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. With a .208 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Coby Mayo finds himself in the 7th percentile.. With a .289 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Coby Mayo has performed in the 22nd percentile.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Mon, May 18 • 6:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+196)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The 4th-deepest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate.. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .398 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Olson has experienced some positive variance given the .048 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.
Total Hits
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will bat from his worse side against Max Meyer in today's matchup.. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Mon, May 18 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Angel Martinez logo
Angel Martinez u0.5 Total Hits (+199)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Angel Martinez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.. Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Angel Martinez today.. Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.9°, Angel Martinez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3°) over the last 14 days.. Despite posting a .346 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Angel Martinez has experienced some positive variance given the .051 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 83°.. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Mon, May 18 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Cincinnati Reds logo Philadelphia Phillies logo o9.5 (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

I'm a believer in Nick Lodolo, but the Reds lefty has looked very shaky as he's returned from a blister that sidelined him into May. Phillies rookie Andrew Painter may also have a bright future, but a bout of homer-itis has hampered his debut campaign to the tune of a 6.21 ERA. Add in Cincinnati's 4.89 bullpen ERA and we've got a prime recipe for an Over, even at an inflated total.

Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, Kyle Schwarber meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Mon, May 18 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Luis Torrens logo
Luis Torrens u0.5 Total Hits (+183)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Luis Torrens is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.. 19% of the time that Luis Torrens has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The #3 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Luis Torrens will have a tough matchup today.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 92°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.6-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Christian Scott today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ New York Yankees logo NYY Mon, May 18 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. The #8 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has strong power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin is a pitch-to-contact type (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr... Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Mon, May 18 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Royce Lewis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Despite posting a .253 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Royce Lewis has suffered from bad luck given the .054 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.
Total Bases
Zach Cole logo
Zach Cole o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Mon, May 18 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Michael Conforto logo
Michael Conforto u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Michael Conforto is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.. 29% of the time that Michael Conforto has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The #6 park in the game for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.
Total Hits
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 18th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Carson Kelly is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. Brandon Sproat will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Kelly in today's matchup.. Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Mon, May 18 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen u0.5 Total Hits (+177)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The deepest RF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Kauffman Stadium.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams on the slate today.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Carter Jensen's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.6% down to 5.3%.
Total Hits
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Sonny Gray will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez in today's game.. In today's game, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.2% rate (87th percentile).. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams on the slate today.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Mon, May 18 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Evan Carter logo
Evan Carter u0.5 Total Hits (+187)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Evan Carter is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this game expects the lowest temperature of all games today at 39°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Jose Quintana will have the handedness advantage against Evan Carter in today's matchup.. Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
Total Hits
Sam Haggerty logo
Sam Haggerty u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sam Haggerty is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this game expects the lowest temperature of all games today at 39°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.. Sam Haggerty will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Mon, May 18 • 9:38 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Athletics Athletics logo ATH (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

The Angels are in freefall (what else is new?), and the A's have the offense to handle Walbert Urena. Shea Langeliers and Nick Kurtz are red hot, and that really can't be said about anyone on Los Angeles right now. 

Total Hits
Nolan Schanuel logo
Nolan Schanuel u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 9th-worst venue in the game for LHB batting average.. This contest is predicted to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Nolan Schanuel's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 90.9-mph average last season has dropped off to 87.1-mph.. Nolan Schanuel's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 87.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 76.7-mph in the past week.. In the past week's worth of games, Nolan Schanuel's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.1%.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Mon, May 18 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo San Diego Padres logo u7.5 (-101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

It's a low total, but that's what happens with Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Michael King toeing the rubber. Both teams have played consistently to the Under this season, and even if L.A.'s lineup is starting to show signs of life, I'd like to see results against teams other than the Angels.

Total Hits
Miguel Andujar logo
Miguel Andujar u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Miguel Andujar is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.. Petco Park projects as the #28 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today.. Hitting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Miguel Andujar will be in a tough position today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Mon, May 18 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. In the league, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Munetaka Murakami will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Munetaka Murakami may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Colson Montgomery will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo today... and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split.. Colson Montgomery may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Mon, May 18 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Projection 2.21
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The #3 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Robbie Ray.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. The #3 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Matt Chapman has been unlucky this year, putting up a .266 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .063 discrepancy.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 2 Computer Picks
Total
Milwaukee Brewers logo St. Louis Cardinals logo u8.0 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

If Brandon Sproat can hold his own early, the Brewers will turn to an excellent bullpen that ranks fifth in xFIP and tied for third in homers allowed per nine innings.

Colder weather and Andre Pallante’s high ground-ball rate (50%) should allow the Cardinals to limit the long ball. That’ll make it difficult to score runs in bulk, helping keep this game Under the total.

Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-110)
Pick made: 12 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Brandon Sproat’s xFIP and SIERA are two full runs less than his ERA, suggesting he hasn’t pitched as poorly as it appears on the surface.

Andre Pallante has posted some concerning numbers against lefties (47.2% hard-hit rate, 13.2% barrel rate), and the Brewers have plenty of good ones in their lineup. This mismatch favors the visitors, and we'll take the Brewers on the ML.

View 4 Picks

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