Sportsnet, NESN

Toronto @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-185
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-185
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers. Cooper Criswell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Criswell's large platoon split. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

George Springer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers. Cooper Criswell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Criswell's large platoon split. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-204
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-204
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers. Jarren Duran has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week. Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.2°, Jarren Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-9.5°) over the last 14 days.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers. Jarren Duran has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week. Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.2°, Jarren Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-9.5°) over the last 14 days.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-164
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-164
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers. Because of Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers. Because of Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.

Will Wagner Total Hits Props • Toronto

W. Wagner
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Because of Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Will Wagner will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Will Wagner is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Will Wagner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Because of Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Will Wagner will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Will Wagner is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Connor Wong has notched a .345 BABIP this year, placing in the 94th percentile.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Connor Wong has notched a .345 BABIP this year, placing in the 94th percentile.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Toronto

S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Cooper Criswell today... and even more favorably, Criswell has a large platoon split. Spencer Horwitz will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Cooper Criswell today... and even more favorably, Criswell has a large platoon split. Spencer Horwitz will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Considering Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Daulton Varsho is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Considering Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Daulton Varsho is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today. Masataka Yoshida will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today. Masataka Yoshida will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Yariel Rodriguez in today's game. Triston Casas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Yariel Rodriguez in today's game. Triston Casas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez in today's game. Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez in today's game. Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Gonzalez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Romy Gonzalez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Romy Gonzalez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Using Statcast metrics, Romy Gonzalez grades out in the 96th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .294.

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Romy Gonzalez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Romy Gonzalez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Using Statcast metrics, Romy Gonzalez grades out in the 96th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .294.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

E. Clement
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Ernie Clement has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.8% seasonal rate to 9.4% over the past 14 days.

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Ernie Clement has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.8% seasonal rate to 9.4% over the past 14 days.

Joey Loperfido Total Hits Props • Toronto

J. Loperfido
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell today... and the cherry on top, Criswell has a large platoon split. Joey Loperfido has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP. Joey Loperfido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Joey Loperfido

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell today... and the cherry on top, Criswell has a large platoon split. Joey Loperfido has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP. Joey Loperfido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Barger
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Projection Rating

Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell in today's game... and even more favorably, Criswell has a large platoon split. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Addison Barger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell in today's game... and even more favorably, Criswell has a large platoon split. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's game.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

Alejandro Kirk's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Alejandro Kirk has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Alejandro Kirk has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.9% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last week's worth of games.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Alejandro Kirk's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Alejandro Kirk has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Alejandro Kirk has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.9% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last week's worth of games.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ceddanne Rafaela has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 91.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ceddanne Rafaela has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 91.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Jansen
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Danny Jansen's launch angle this season (22.5°) is considerably better than his 19.5° mark last year. Danny Jansen has shown good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 90th percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Danny Jansen's launch angle this season (22.5°) is considerably better than his 19.5° mark last year. Danny Jansen has shown good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 90th percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

David Hamilton is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

David Hamilton is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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