St. Louis @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre ranks as the #21 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today. Kyle Gibson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle this year (6.9°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.2° mark last year.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today. Daulton Varsho has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.4% seasonal rate to 15% over the past two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Lars Nootbaar has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week. Lars Nootbaar has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph dropping to 86.6-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Brendan Donovan has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Spencer Horwitz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Nathan Lukes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathan Lukes is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nathan Lukes will hold that advantage today.

Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Using Statcast metrics, Alec Burleson is in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .278.

Will Wagner's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Will Wagner is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Will Wagner will have an edge in today's game. Will Wagner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Will Wagner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ernie Clement has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Ernie Clement is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.8% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Over the past two weeks, Jordan Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph lately. Jordan Walker has been unlucky this year, compiling a .230 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .079 difference. Using Statcast data, Jordan Walker ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .265.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Paul Goldschmidt has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.6% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past two weeks. Paul Goldschmidt has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 98.7-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Leo Jimenez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Leo Jimenez's launch angle of late (16° in the last week's worth of games) is significantly better than his 11.7° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Joey Loperfido will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today. Joey Loperfido hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Joey Loperfido will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Joey Loperfido has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 91.1-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Davis Schneider will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last week, Davis Schneider's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.6% up to 20%. Davis Schneider has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 86.8-mph over the past week.

The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. In the past week, Pedro Pages's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 20%. Pedro Pages has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph EV. In the last two weeks, Pedro Pages's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Addison Barger has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) suggests that Addison Barger has been unlucky this year with his .208 actual batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, George Springer's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 93.2 mph to 87.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk has experienced some negative variance given the .030 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318. In terms of plate discipline, Alejandro Kirk's skill is quite good, posting a 1.47 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 94th percentile.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. In the past 7 days, Masyn Winn's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.3% up to 11.1%. Masyn Winn has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 86.7-mph figure. Masyn Winn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 15.3% on the season to 44.4% in the last week.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. In the past 7 days, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 102.8-mph of late. In the past two weeks, Nolan Arenado's 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.3%.