NBCSP, SNY

New York @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Iglesias
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-185
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-185
Projection Rating

Jose Iglesias has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 2nd-worst park in the majors for righty base hits. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Jose Iglesias has been lucky this year, posting a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .062 deviation.

Jose Iglesias

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jose Iglesias has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 2nd-worst park in the majors for righty base hits. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Jose Iglesias has been lucky this year, posting a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .062 deviation.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #27 venue in the majors for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Batting from the same side that Kolby Allard throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a tough matchup in today's game. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 3.6%.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #27 venue in the majors for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Batting from the same side that Kolby Allard throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a tough matchup in today's game. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 3.6%.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP skill, Starling Marte is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Starling Marte will have an advantage in today's game. Compared to last season, Starling Marte has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.4% to 49.6% this season.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his BABIP skill, Starling Marte is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Starling Marte will have an advantage in today's game. Compared to last season, Starling Marte has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.4% to 49.6% this season.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's game.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Johan Rojas has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph to 90.3-mph in the past 7 days.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Johan Rojas has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph to 90.3-mph in the past 7 days.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 2nd-worst park in the majors for righty base hits. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor today. Francisco Lindor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94.3-mph.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 2nd-worst park in the majors for righty base hits. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor today. Francisco Lindor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94.3-mph.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets

H. Bader
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Harrison Bader will hold the platoon advantage over Kolby Allard in today's matchup. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph figure. This season, Harrison Bader has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90 mph compared to last year's 88 mph mark.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Harrison Bader will hold the platoon advantage over Kolby Allard in today's matchup. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph figure. This season, Harrison Bader has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90 mph compared to last year's 88 mph mark.

J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Martinez
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, J.D. Martinez will have an edge today.

J.D. Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, J.D. Martinez will have an edge today.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryson Stott's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage today.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage today.

Cal Stevenson Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

C. Stevenson
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cal Stevenson will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Cal Stevenson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Cal Stevenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cal Stevenson will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Cal Stevenson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.9-mph.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.9-mph.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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