Miami @ Washington props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 6th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand today. James Wood is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 86.5 mph to 82.1 mph. Xavier Edwards has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) in the last 14 days.

In the past two weeks' worth of games, Kyle Stowers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph recently. In the last two weeks, Kyle Stowers's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.301) provides evidence that Kyle Stowers has had some very poor luck this year with his .256 actual wOBA. Kyle Stowers is in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50% rate this year).

Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Nasim Nunez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nasim Nunez is very toolsy, ranking in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.24 ft/sec this year.

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jacob Young has put up a .323 BABIP this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Jesus Sanchez's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92.9-mph now compared to just 90.3-mph then. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.279) may lead us to conclude that Jesus Sanchez has had bad variance on his side this year with his .245 actual batting average.

Dylan Crews is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Dylan Crews will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 7.4°, Dylan Crews has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 16.3° angle in the past 7 days.

Luis Garcia's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, Luis Garcia will have an advantage in today's game. Luis Garcia has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.

Jose Tena's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Tena is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Oller today. Jose Tena has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Otto Lopez will have an edge in today's game. Otto Lopez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Otto Lopez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.5% up to 11.8%. Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .257 rate is a good deal lower than his .273 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Connor Norby's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Norby is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Connor Norby will have the upper hand in today's game. Connor Norby has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 13.9% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the last 7 days. Connor Norby has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 94.8-mph.

The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Adam Oller. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive talent to be a .292, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .019 difference between that mark and his actual .273 wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Jake Burger has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 93.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Joey Gallo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Oller in today's matchup. Joey Gallo has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Joey Gallo pulls many of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Joey Gallo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .264 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Gallo has been unlucky given the .040 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

Jonah Bride is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Jonah Bride will have an advantage in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Jonah Bride's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 93.4-mph lately. As it relates to plate discipline, Jonah Bride's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.73 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

Cristian Pache will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Cristian Pache has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cristian Pache has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the past two weeks, Cristian Pache's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.7%. Cristian Pache has compiled a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile.

Andres Chaparro is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Andres Chaparro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Andres Chaparro has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 93-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Javier Sanoja will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.

Jhonny Pereda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Jhonny Pereda has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.