Toronto @ Texas props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the 2nd-worst park in MLB for righty BABIP. The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Globe Life Field. Batting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Bo Bichette faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the 2nd-worst park in MLB for righty BABIP. Hitting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have a tough challenge today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Nathaniel Lowe will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 90.1-mph.

Josh H. Smith is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Josh H. Smith will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Josh H. Smith will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Josh H. Smith has put up a .316 BABIP this year.

Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Leody Taveras has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week. In terms of his batting average, Leody Taveras has had bad variance on his side this year. His .224 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an edge in today's game. Spencer Horwitz has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph EV. Spencer Horwitz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 20.9% on the season to 37% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Utilizing Statcast data, Leo Jimenez ranks in the 76th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .325.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 30% over the past week. Davis Schneider has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 92.8-mph. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Davis Schneider's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.4%. Davis Schneider has been unlucky this year, compiling a .285 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .033 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Compared to his seasonal mark of 16.5°, Ernie Clement has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9°) over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage today. Wyatt Langford has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 91.8-mph in the last 14 days. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Wyatt Langford has had some very poor luck this year. His .308 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .347.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.273) may lead us to conclude that George Springer has experienced some negative variance this year with his .221 actual batting average. George Springer has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 82nd percentile with a 1.88 K/BB rate.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonah Heim has suffered from bad luck given the .032 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .288.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Adolis Garcia's launch angle of late (24° in the past week) is considerably higher than his 15.3° seasonal figure. Despite posting a .286 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has suffered from bad luck given the .034 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

Justin Foscue will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Alejandro Kirk's launch angle this year (9.7°) is a significant increase over his 6.2° figure last season. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 13.9% on the season to 33.3% over the last week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alejandro Kirk's true offensive ability to be a .319, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .031 gap between that figure and his actual .288 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage today. Checking in at the 78th percentile, Ezequiel Duran has posted a .317 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 26.3° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games. Marcus Semien has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .237 BA is deflated compared to his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.9°, Josh Jung has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.2° figure in the last week. By putting up a .264 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Josh Jung is ranked in the 80th percentile. Ranking in the 93rd percentile, Josh Jung sits with a .343 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an advantage today.

Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge in today's game. Over the last week, Addison Barger's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph lately. Addison Barger has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .211 mark is a good deal lower than his .249 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.